North Island—Powell River

North Island—Powell River
British Columbia electoral district
North Island—Powell River in relation to other electoral districts in the Vancouver Island area
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Rachel Blaney
New Democratic
District created2013
First contested2015
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)[1]103,458
Electors (2015)79,517
Area (km²)[2]57,911
Pop. density (per km²)1.8
Census division(s)Comox Valley, Mount Waddington, qathet, Strathcona
Census subdivision(s)Campbell River, Comox, Powell River, Gold River, Port Hardy, Port McNeill, Port Alice, Alert Bay, Sayward, Comox Valley B, Comox Valley C, Strathcona C, Strathcona D

North Island—Powell River is a federal electoral district in British Columbia, Canada, that was represented in the House of Commons of Canada from 1988 to 1997, and again since 2015. This riding was created in 1987 from parts of Comox—Powell River riding and contested for the first time at the 34th federal election on 21 November 1988. It was abolished in 1996 when it was merged into Vancouver Island North riding, and it ceased to be represented in the House of Commons effective at the call of the 36th federal election on 2 June 1997.

The riding consisted of the southern part of Kitimat-Stikine Regional District, the Central Coast Regional District, the Mount Waddington Regional District, the northwest part of the Comox-Strathcona Regional District, the Sunshine Coast Regional District, and the Powell River Regional District, except Electoral Area E.

North Island—Powell River was re-created (initially called Vancouver Island North—Comox—Powell River) by the 2012 federal electoral boundaries redistribution and was legally defined in the 2013 representation order. It came into effect upon the call of the 42nd Canadian federal election, which was held 19 October 2015.[3][4]

Demographics

Panethnic groups in North Island—Powell River (2011−2021)
Panethnic
group 		2021[5] 2016[6] 2011[7]
Pop. % Pop. % Pop. %
European[a] 91,320 83.17% 87,400 84.31% 88,465 86.9%
Indigenous 13,400 12.2% 12,475 12.03% 10,560 10.37%
East Asian[b] 1,515 1.38% 1,185 1.14% 575 0.56%
Southeast Asian[c] 1,390 1.27% 1,125 1.09% 985 0.97%
South Asian 920 0.84% 455 0.44% 370 0.36%
African 505 0.46% 430 0.41% 330 0.32%
Latin American 370 0.34% 295 0.28% 300 0.29%
Middle Eastern[d] 80 0.07% 75 0.07% 20 0.02%
Other[e] 300 0.27% 230 0.22% 200 0.2%
Total responses 109,800 98.19% 103,670 98.3% 101,800 98.33%
Total population 111,825 100% 105,466 100% 103,525 100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

Members of Parliament

Parliament Years Member Party
North Island—Powell River
Riding created from Comox—Powell River
34th  1988–1993     Ray Skelly New Democratic
35th  1993–1997     John Duncan Reform
Riding dissolved into Vancouver Island North,
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast, Skeena and Cariboo—Chilcotin
Riding re-created from Vancouver Island North and
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country
42nd  2015–2019     Rachel Blaney New Democratic
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–present

Electoral history

North Island—Powell River, 2015–present

Graph of election results in North Island—Powell River (since 2015, minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)


2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Rachel Blaney 23,833 39.5 +1.6 $62,260.34
Conservative Shelley Downey 21,670 36.0 +3.4 $63,438.47
Liberal Jennifer Grenz 7,922 13.1 ±0.0 $44,209.34
Green Jessica Wegg 3,656 6.1 -8.0 $22,023.44
People's Paul Macknight 2,795 4.6 +2.8 $0.00
Maverick Stacey Gastis 310 0.5 N/A $26,200.41
Marxist–Leninist Carla Neal 77 0.1 ±0.0 $0.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit 60,263 99.3 – $147,765.33
Total rejected ballots 421 0.7
Turnout 60,684 65.3
Eligible voters 92,814
New Democratic hold Swing -0.9
Source: Elections Canada[8]
2021 federal election redistributed results[9]
Party Vote %
  New Democratic 26,918 39.46
  Conservative 24,707 36.22
  Liberal 9,076 13.30
  Green 3,999 5.86
  People's 3,113 4.56
  Others 403 0.59
2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Rachel Blaney 23,834 37.9 -2.31 $59,655.63
Conservative Shelley Downey 20,502 32.6 +6.43 $49,894.99
Green Mark de Bruijn 8,891 14.1 +5.94 $34,354.18
Liberal Peter Schwarzhoff 8,251 13.1 -12.37 none listed
People's Brian Rundle 1,102 1.8 – $5,894.54
Independent Glen Staples 287 0.5 – $3,027.54
Marxist–Leninist Carla Neal 48 0.1 – none listed
Total valid votes 62,915 100.00 –
Total rejected ballots 291 – –
Turnout 63,206 – –
Eligible voters 89,561
New Democratic hold Swing -4.37
Source: Elections Canada[10]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Rachel Blaney 24,340 40.21 -1.53 $139,441.92
Conservative Laura Smith 15,840 26.17 -19.86 $83,346.00
Liberal Peter Schwarzhoff 15,416 25.47 +19.11 $40,436.14
Green Brenda Sayers 4,940 8.16 +3.01 $37,000.01
Total valid votes/expense limit 60,536 99.71   $268,365.27
Total rejected ballots 177 0.29 –
Turnout 60,713 75.21 –
Eligible voters 80,730
New Democratic notional gain from Conservative Swing +9.17
Source: Elections Canada[11][12]
2011 federal election redistributed results[13]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 23,425 46.03
  New Democratic 21,239 41.74
  Liberal 3,236 6.36
  Green 2,623 5.15
  Others 367 0.72

North Island—Powell River, 1988–1997

1993 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Reform John Duncan 18,255 39.31 +37.63
Liberal Al Huddlestan 11,877 25.57 +9.46
New Democratic Raymond Skelly 7,794 16.78 −35.24
Progressive Conservative Mark von Schellwitz 3,682 7.93 −16.49
National Mark A. Grenier 3,408 7.34 –
Green Michael Mascall 1,015 2.19 +0.97
Natural Law Wayne A. Melvin 254 0.55 –
Canada Party James Peter Turner 159 0.34 –
Total valid votes 46,444 100.0  
Reform gain from New Democratic Swing +14.08
1988 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
New Democratic Raymond Skelly 22,179 52.02
Progressive Conservative Michel Rabu 10,411 24.42
Liberal Allan Warnke 6,867 16.11
Christian Heritage John A. Krell 1,521 3.57
Reform Dodd W. Pellant 718 1.68
Green Michael Conway-Brown 519 1.22
Rhinoceros Philip John Hicks 299 0.70
Communist Nickolas Chernoff 121 0.28
Total valid votes 42,635 100.00  
This riding was created from Comox—Powell River, and New Democrat Ray Skelly was the incumbent.

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
  2. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
  3. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
  4. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
  5. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.

References

  1. ^ Statistics Canada: 2011
  2. ^ Statistics Canada: 2011
  3. ^ Timeline for the Redistribution of Federal Electoral Districts
  4. ^ "Government Bill (House of Commons) C-37 (41-2) - Third Reading - Riding Name Change Act, 2014 - Parliament of Canada".
  5. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
  6. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
  7. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
  8. ^ "List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 2, 2021.
  9. ^ "Transposition of Votes from the 44th General Election to the 2023 Representation Orders". Elections Canada. Retrieved April 9, 2024.
  10. ^ "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved November 16, 2019.
  11. ^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for North Island—Powell River, 30 September 2015
  12. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates
  13. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections