Nivithigala Polling Division

Nivithigala
Polling Division
Map
Coordinates: 6°35′22″N 80°27′50″E / 6.589471°N 80.463780°E / 6.589471; 80.463780
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictRatnapura Electoral District
Area
 • Total
354.64 km2 (136.93 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
141,281
 • Density398/km2 (1,030/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-21F

The Nivithigala Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Ratnapura Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Nivithigala has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Nivithigala is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Nivithigala Ratnapura Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.74% SLPP 5.10%
2015 UPFA UPFA 2.41% NDF 10.57%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.67% UPFA 7.42%
2005 UPFA UPFA 0.24% UPFA 2.53%
1999 PA PA 1.56% PA 2.32%
1994 PA PA 0.08% PA 4.23%
1988 UNP UNP 0.85% UNP 1.37%
1982 UNP UNP 1.81% UNP 4.84%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 1.29% 8/8 4.80%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nivithigala[4] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 50,806 58.35% 448,044 59.93% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 32,691 37.55% 264,503 35.38% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,230 2.56% 16,237 2.17% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,344 1.54% 18,887 2.53% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 87,071 99.18% 747,671 99.22% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 723 0.82% 5,853 0.78% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 87,794 87.97% 753,524 87.11% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 99,796 864,979 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nivithigala[5] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 46,275 58.01% 379,053 55.74% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 32,188 40.35% 292,514 43.01% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,309 1.64% 8,517 1.25% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 79,772 98.82% 680,084 98.89% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 956 1.18% 7,656 1.11% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 80,728 83.96% 687,740 82.69% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 96,156 831,712 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nivithigala[6] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,248 65.30% 377,734 63.76% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 22,431 32.37% 203,566 34.36% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,613 2.33% 11,126 1.88% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 69,292 99.18% 592,426 99.26% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 574 0.82% 4,430 0.74% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 69,866 80.33% 596,856 79.75% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 86,973 748,404 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nivithigala[7] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,569 52.71% 294,260 53.01% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 29,987 45.72% 252,838 45.55% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,026 1.56% 7,976 1.44% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 65,582 99.15% 555,074 99.02% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 560 0.85% 5,510 0.98% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 66,142 84.63% 560,584 82.57% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 78,157 678,909 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nivithigala[8] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 32,193 54.42% 250,409 52.13% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 24,516 41.45% 202,621 42.18% 3,602,748 42.71%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,258 2.13% 10,852 2.26% 176,679 2.09%
JVP 1,186 2.00% 16,482 3.43% 343,927 4.08%
Valid Votes 59,153 98.43% 480,364 98.15% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 941 1.57% 9,038 1.85% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 60,094 85.32% 489,402 81.27% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 70,432 602,172 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nivithigala[9] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,980 57.96% 257,265 58.07% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 22,172 40.18% 177,924 40.16% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,026 1.86% 7,842 1.77% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 55,178 98.51% 443,031 98.31% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 836 1.49% 7,595 1.69% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 56,014 83.74% 450,626 80.02% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 66,888 563,174 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nivithigala[10] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,198 51.13% 180,622 51.75% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 21,298 46.94% 159,879 45.81% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 876 1.93% 8,516 2.44% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 45,372 98.98% 349,017 98.84% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 467 1.02% 4,113 1.16% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 45,839 84.89% 353,130 76.64% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 54,001 460,735 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nivithigala[11] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,556 50.17% 175,903 50.90% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 20,308 47.27% 152,506 44.13% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 779 1.81% 11,283 3.26% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 319 0.74% 5,912 1.71% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 42,962 99.25% 345,604 99.02% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 324 0.75% 3,407 0.98% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 43,286 89.23% 349,011 85.91% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 48,510 406,275 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Nivithigala has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Nivithigala is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Nivithigala Ratnapura Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.45% UNP 5.43%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.05% UPFA 8.45%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.38% UPFA 6.29%
2001 PA UNP 3.56% UNP 5.28%
2000 PA PA 2.50% PA 4.80%
1994 PA PA 1.31% PA 2.72%
1989 UNP UNP 1.85% UNP 6.16%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 2.16% 7/7 5.59%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nivithigala[14] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,125 53.49% 323,636 51.21% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 33,353 44.46% 284,117 44.96% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 1,305 1.74% 21,525 3.41% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 229 0.31% 2,720 0.43% 83,333 0.75%
Valid Votes 75,012 96.31% 631,998 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,851 3.66% 23,026 3.51% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 77,886 81.00% 655,222 80.88% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 96,156 810,082 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nivithigala[15] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,930 72.32% 305,327 68.87% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 13,603 25.94% 125,076 28.21% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 668 1.27% 11,053 2.49% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 245 0.47% 1,853 0.42% 35,498 0.44%
Valid Votes 52,446 91.99% 443,309 92.28% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,559 8.00% 37,022 7.71% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 57,014 65.55% 480,395 64.02% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 86,973 750,416 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nivithigala[16] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 32,331 54.70% 261,450 53.14% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 25,321 42.84% 205,490 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,076 1.82% 20,801 4.23% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 378 0.64% 4,262 0.87% 58,082 0.63%
Valid Votes 59,106 94.96% 492,003 94.55% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,134 5.04% 28,346 5.45% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 62,240 81.99% 520,349 80.42% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 75,915 647,035 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nivithigala[17] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,833 49.01% 212,794 43.46% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 26,220 44.57% 227,202 46.41% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 2,756 4.68% 40,377 8.25% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,020 1.73% 9,205 1.88% 131,990 1.47%
Valid Votes 58,829 94.84% 489,578 94.14% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,203 5.16% 30,483 5.86% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 62,032 84.77% 520,061 83.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 73,176 623,506 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nivithigala[18] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,798 54.47% 244,142 50.63% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 24,062 41.22% 204,017 42.30% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,631 2.79% 22,222 4.61% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 886 1.52% 11,873 2.46% 239,421 2.78%
Valid Votes 58,377 N/A 482,254 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nivithigala[19] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 27,908 49.60% 233,687 50.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 27,819 49.44% 220,750 47.96% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 542 0.96% 5,848 1.27% 223,848 2.82%
Valid Votes 56,269 95.24% 460,285 95.12% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,812 4.76% 23,611 4.88% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 59,081 88.33% 483,890 85.77% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 66,888 564,194 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nivithigala[20] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,875 57.50% 196,323 57.89% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 17,457 40.35% 123,360 36.38% 1,785,369 31.90%
USP 732 1.69% 17,323 5.11% 17,323 0.31%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 195 0.45% 2,116 0.62% 68,609 1.23%
Valid Votes 43,259 95.00% 339,122 94.37% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,277 5.00% 20,248 5.63% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 45,536 85.24% 359,370 78.60% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 53,422 457,224 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Nivithigala Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (83.5%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Nivithigala Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (87.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Nivithigala[1]

  Sinhalese (83.5%)
  Indian Tamil (8.3%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (6.8%)
  Moor (1.3%)
  Other (0.1%)

Religion

The Nivithigala Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (83.4%) and a significant Hindu population (13.3%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Nivithigala Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (86.7%) [1]

Religion in Nivithigala[1]

  Buddhist (83.4%)
  Hindu (13.3%)
  Muslim (1.5%)
  Roman Catholic (1.1%)
  Other (0.6%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nivithigala and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nivithigala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nivithigala and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nivithigala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.