Nattandiya Polling Division

Nattandiya
Polling Division
Location of Nattandiya
Coordinates: 7°25′35″N 79°50′56″E / 7.426346°N 79.848946°E / 7.426346; 79.848946
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Western Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictPuttalam Electoral District
Area
 • Total
155.47 km2 (60.03 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
113,223
 • Density728/km2 (1,890/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-16D

The Nattandiya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Puttalam Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Nattandiya has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Nattandiya is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 7.00% SLPP 5.40%
2015 UPFA NDF 3.01% NDF 4.30%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.00% UPFA 2.69%
2005 UPFA UNP 3.79% UPFA 1.60%
1999 PA PA 3.71% PA 3.25%
1994 PA PA 0.89% PA 0.68%
1988 UNP UNP 2.44% UNP 1.71%
1982 UNP UNP 2.38% UNP 2.72%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 3.15% 8/8 2.79%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya[4] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 38,832 58.02% 230,760 50.83% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 24,308 36.32% 199,356 43.91% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,190 3.27% 12,912 2.84% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,601 2.39% 10,948 2.41% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 66,931 99.01% 453,976 99.02% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 668 0.99% 4,478 0.98% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 67,599 71.87% 458,454 76.53% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 94,055 599,042 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya[5] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,119 52.12% 197,751 48.97% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 29,934 47.11% 202,073 50.04% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 486 0.76% 4,026 1.00% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 63,539 99.13% 403,850 98.95% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 558 0.87% 4,300 1.05% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 64,097 71.24% 408,150 72.50% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 89,975 562,984 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya[6] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,799 60.92% 201,981 58.70% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 21,612 37.83% 136,233 39.59% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 713 1.25% 5,899 1.71% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 57,124 99.38% 344,113 99.17% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 355 0.62% 2,886 0.83% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 57,479 69.07% 346,999 68.97% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 83,218 503,106 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya[7] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,227 52.05% 160,686 48.14% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 26,367 46.96% 169,264 50.71% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 556 0.99% 3,833 1.15% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 56,150 99.21% 333,783 98.95% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 445 0.79% 3,536 1.05% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 56,595 71.07% 337,319 70.56% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 79,631 478,032 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya[8] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 26,152 55.53% 141,725 51.47% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 19,079 40.51% 121,615 44.17% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,285 2.73% 7,876 2.86% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 576 1.22% 4,123 1.50% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 47,092 98.24% 275,339 97.94% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 846 1.76% 5,778 2.06% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 47,938 69.86% 281,117 68.85% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 68,620 408,331 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya[9] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 27,856 61.91% 165,795 62.65% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 16,721 37.16% 95,211 35.98% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 417 0.93% 3,629 1.37% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 44,994 98.74% 264,635 98.26% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 576 1.26% 4,689 1.74% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 45,570 70.71% 269,324 69.80% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 64,449 385,854 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya[10] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,194 53.31% 125,339 55.89% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 18,585 44.64% 94,823 42.28% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 851 2.04% 4,093 1.83% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 41,630 99.08% 224,255 98.70% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 388 0.92% 2,965 1.30% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 42,018 73.04% 227,220 70.70% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 57,526 321,387 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya[11] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,324 57.14% 128,877 59.12% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 16,299 39.93% 80,006 36.70% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,016 2.49% 7,001 3.21% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 179 0.44% 2,096 0.96% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 40,818 99.13% 217,980 99.09% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 357 0.87% 1,995 0.91% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 41,175 82.95% 219,975 81.41% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 49,638 270,207 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Nattandiya has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Nattandiya is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 3.17% UNP 3.10%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.89% UPFA 2.52%
2004 UPFA UPFA 3.53% UPFA 4.67%
2001 UNP UNP 3.62% UNP 3.61%
2000 PA PA 2.02% PA 3.09%
1994 PA PA 1.30% PA 2.98%
1989 UNP UNP 3.66% UNP 4.79%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 7/7 2.60% 7/7 3.54%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya[14] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,427 48.27% 180,185 51.81% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 26,714 47.02% 153,130 44.03% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,393 4.21% 12,211 3.51% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 286 0.50% 2,263 0.65% 82,383 0.74%
Valid Votes 56,820 95.10% 347,789 91.37% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,897 4.85% 23,124 6.08% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 59,748 66.41% 380,632 68.83% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 89,975 553,009 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya[15] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,518 64.21% 167,769 64.84% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 12,864 30.02% 81,152 31.36% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,246 5.24% 8,792 3.40% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 228 0.53% 1,028 0.40% 33,372 0.42%
Valid Votes 42,856 93.12% 258,741 92.29% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,159 6.86% 21,562 7.69% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 46,023 55.30% 280,354 55.67% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 83,218 503,635 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya[16] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 25,270 52.10% 142,784 49.31% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 20,461 42.19% 135,152 46.67% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,466 5.08% 10,000 3.45% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 302 0.62% 1,652 0.57% 62,157 0.67%
Valid Votes 48,499 94.21% 289,588 93.06% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,953 5.74% 21,431 6.89% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 51,477 67.65% 311,194 69.15% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 76,097 450,057 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya[17] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,915 46.47% 146,873 50.61% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 22,323 45.27% 120,981 41.69% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,345 6.78% 18,095 6.24% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 724 1.47% 4,260 1.47% 116,969 1.31%
Valid Votes 49,307 96.39% 290,209 95.20% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 1,848 3.61% 14,638 4.80% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 51,155 70.90% 304,847 71.53% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 72,155 426,193 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya[18] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,646 51.58% 138,747 48.40% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 20,078 40.38% 118,566 41.36% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,909 3.84% 11,256 3.93% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 1,308 2.63% 12,317 4.30% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 778 1.56% 5,809 2.03% 236,331 2.75%
Valid Votes 49,719 N/A 286,695 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya[19] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 26,286 54.93% 150,587 53.64% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 21,120 44.14% 127,671 45.48% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 446 0.93% 2,453 0.87% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 47,852 96.37% 280,711 95.52% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,804 3.63% 13,144 4.47% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 49,656 77.05% 293,873 76.19% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 64,449 385,690 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya[20] Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,957 58.21% 139,309 62.62% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 13,763 34.90% 71,687 32.22% 1,785,369 31.90%
SLMC 1,276 3.24% 6,253 2.81% 202,016 3.61%
USA 1,136 2.88% 3,398 1.53% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 308 0.78% 1,828 0.82% 69,193 1.24%
Valid Votes 39,440 94.63% 222,475 94.40% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,236 5.37% 13,205 5.60% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 41,676 73.38% 235,680 73.94% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 56,794 318,755 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Nattandiya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (91.4%) . In comparison, the Puttalam Electoral District (which contains the Nattandiya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (73.6%) and a significant Moor population (19.4%) [1]

Ethnicity in Nattandiya[1]

  Sinhalese (91.4%)
  Moor (5.6%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (2.4%)
  Other (0.5%)

Religion

The Nattandiya Polling Division has a Roman Catholic plurality (45.6%) and a significant Buddhist population (45.4%) . In comparison, the Puttalam Electoral District (which contains the Nattandiya Polling Division) has a Buddhist plurality (43.2%), a significant Roman Catholic population (31.5%) and a significant Muslim population (19.7%) [1]

Religion in Nattandiya[1]

  Roman Catholic (45.6%)
  Buddhist (45.4%)
  Muslim (5.9%)
  Other Christian (1.8%)
  Hindu (1.3%)
  Other (0.0%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nattandiya and the Puttalam Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nattandiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nattandiya and the Puttalam Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nattandiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.