Moratuwa Polling Division

Moratuwa
Polling Division
Location of Moratuwa
Coordinates: 6°45′55″N 79°53′27″E / 6.765242°N 79.890897°E / 6.765242; 79.890897
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictColombo Electoral District
Area
 • Total
20.75 km2 (8.01 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
168,280
 • Density8,110/km2 (21,000/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-01O

The Moratuwa Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Colombo Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Moratuwa has matched the final country result 8 out of 8 times. Hence, Moratuwa is a Perfect Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 4.29% SLPP 5.23%
2015 NDF NDF 5.33% NDF 0.94%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.91% UPFA 0.42%
2005 UPFA UNP 4.17% UPFA 1.68%
1999 PA PA 2.56% PA 1.02%
1994 PA PA 0.74% PA 1.69%
1988 UNP UNP 0.40% UNP 1.28%
1982 UNP UNP 2.76% UNP 1.12%
Matches/Mean MAE 8/8 7/8 3.14% 8/8 1.67%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa[4] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 57,645 57.83% 727,713 53.19% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 36,390 36.50% 559,921 40.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 3,534 3.55% 53,803 3.93% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,118 2.12% 26,740 1.95% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 99,687 99.00% 1,368,177 98.89% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,008 1.00% 15,333 1.11% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 100,695 84.65% 1,383,510 82.82% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 118,956 1,670,403 15,992,568

2020 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa[5] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPFA 55,000 63.54% 674,603 57.04% 6,853,693 59.09%
SJB 23,747 27.43% 387,145 32.73% 2,771,984 23.9%
JJB 4,404 5.09% 67,600 5.72% 445,958 3.84%
UNP 1,754 2.03% 30,875 2.61% 249,435 2.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,645 1.91% 22,553 1.9% 1,227,859 11.02%
Valid Votes 86,560 72.19% 1,182,776 69.2% 11,598,936 71.32%
Rejected Votes 5,895 4.92% 81,034 4.74% 744,373 4.58%
Total Polled 92,455 77.1% 1,263,810 73.94% 12,343,309 75.89%
Registered Electors 119,911 1,709,209 16,263,885

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa[6] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 48,599 50.63% 725,073 55.93% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 46,885 48.85% 562,614 43.40% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 497 0.52% 8,673 0.67% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 95,981 99.01% 1,296,360 98.83% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 958 0.99% 15,334 1.17% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 96,939 84.13% 1,311,694 81.34% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 115,219 1,612,660 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa[7] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 52,627 57.99% 614,740 52.93% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 37,233 41.03% 533,022 45.90% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 892 0.98% 13,620 1.17% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 90,752 99.19% 1,161,382 99.03% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 745 0.81% 11,394 0.97% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 91,497 79.84% 1,172,776 76.09% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 114,601 1,541,242 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa[8] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 48,047 52.17% 534,431 47.96% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 43,207 46.92% 569,627 51.12% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 835 0.91% 10,192 0.91% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 92,089 98.95% 1,114,250 98.86% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 975 1.05% 12,879 1.14% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 93,064 80.39% 1,127,129 75.85% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 115,759 1,486,021 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa[9] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 41,380 52.16% 474,310 49.18% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 33,017 41.62% 425,185 44.08% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,692 4.65% 44,009 4.56% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,238 1.56% 21,030 2.18% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 79,327 97.53% 964,534 97.06% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 2,006 2.47% 29,197 2.94% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 81,333 77.11% 993,731 73.39% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 105,483 1,354,025 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa[10] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 45,403 64.26% 557,708 64.82% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 24,493 34.67% 288,741 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 759 1.07% 13,937 1.62% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 70,655 98.62% 860,386 98.17% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 988 1.38% 16,060 1.83% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 71,643 73.23% 876,446 69.59% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 97,831 1,259,484 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa[11] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 31,546 48.77% 361,337 49.14% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 29,654 45.84% 339,958 46.23% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 3,488 5.39% 34,020 4.63% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 64,688 98.51% 735,315 98.49% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 977 1.49% 11,295 1.51% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 65,665 67.81% 746,610 67.53% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 96,841 1,105,583 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Moratuwa[12] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 32,096 54.60% 436,290 57.86% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 22,744 38.69% 274,476 36.40% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,625 4.47% 28,580 3.79% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 1,137 1.93% 9,655 1.28% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 180 0.31% 5,030 0.67% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 58,782 98.81% 754,031 98.95% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 707 1.19% 7,990 1.05% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 59,489 74.09% 762,021 76.88% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 80,297 991,194 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Moratuwa has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Moratuwa is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Moratuwa Colombo Electoral District MAE[13] % Sri Lanka MAE[14] %
2015 UNP UNP 4.55% UNP 2.22%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.40% UPFA 5.41%
2004 UPFA UNP 3.56% UPFA 1.72%
2001 UNP UNP 3.59% UNP 1.70%
2000 PA UNP 2.57% PA 1.76%
1994 PA PA 3.04% PA 4.83%
1989 UNP UNP 4.38% UNP 3.18%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 5/7 3.44% 7/7 2.97%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa[15] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 43,665 48.53% 640,743 53.04% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 40,142 44.61% 474,063 39.25% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 5,384 5.98% 81,391 6.74% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 785 0.87% 11,752 0.97% 93,045 0.84%
Valid Votes 89,976 96.72% 1,207,949 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,990 3.21% 43,372 3.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 93,031 80.74% 1,252,271 78.93% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 115,219 1,586,598 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa[16] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,369 54.20% 480,896 51.23% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 25,356 34.04% 339,750 36.19% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 8,159 10.95% 110,683 11.79% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 600 0.81% 7,292 0.78% 48,240 0.60%
Valid Votes 74,484 95.20% 938,723 94.85% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,725 4.76% 50,354 5.09% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 78,242 68.27% 989,729 64.17% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 114,601 1,542,457 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa[17] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,833 44.45% 414,688 39.20% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 34,313 39.27% 441,841 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 13,493 15.44% 190,618 18.02% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 730 0.84% 10,713 1.01% 90,868 0.98%
Valid Votes 87,369 96.52% 1,057,860 96.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,139 3.47% 38,605 3.52% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 90,515 77.73% 1,096,571 74.71% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 116,454 1,467,751 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa[18] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 42,150 47.82% 546,417 51.62% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 33,627 38.15% 353,401 33.39% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 9,932 11.27% 117,404 11.09% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,274 1.45% 24,289 2.29% 510,616 5.70%
SU 1,161 1.32% 16,970 1.60% 50,665 0.57%
Valid Votes 88,144 96.40% 1,058,481 96.28% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,294 3.60% 40,901 3.72% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 91,438 79.22% 1,099,382 76.31% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 115,430 1,440,682 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa[19] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 36,883 43.63% 394,146 38.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 35,570 42.07% 440,684 43.45% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 6,849 8.10% 78,133 7.70% 518,725 6.03%
SU 3,721 4.40% 49,671 4.90% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,522 1.80% 51,586 5.09% 375,083 4.36%
Valid Votes 84,545 N/A 1,014,220 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa[20] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 41,670 55.63% 469,642 50.94% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 30,360 40.53% 385,100 41.77% 3,498,370 44.04%
MEP 1,543 2.06% 42,734 4.64% 68,538 0.86%
SLPF 992 1.32% 11,454 1.24% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 345 0.46% 13,003 1.41% 51,995 0.65%
Valid Votes 74,910 96.52% 921,933 96.18% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,701 3.48% 36,635 3.82% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 77,611 79.33% 958,568 76.04% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 97,831 1,260,686 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Moratuwa[21] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 33,090 53.97% 374,530 51.67% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 22,024 35.92% 205,053 28.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 3,796 6.19% 31,873 4.40% 141,983 2.54%
MEP 1,859 3.03% 76,966 10.62% 90,480 1.62%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 539 0.88% 36,420 5.02% 269,739 4.82%
Valid Votes 61,308 96.14% 724,842 95.36% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,463 3.86% 35,271 4.64% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 63,771 66.58% 760,113 69.87% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 95,786 1,087,891 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Moratuwa Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (94.3%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Moratuwa Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (76.5%), a significant Moor population (10.7%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (10.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Moratuwa[1]

  Sinhalese (94.3%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (3.0%)
  Moor (1.6%)
  Other (1.1%)

Religion

The Moratuwa Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (68.2%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (19.8%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Moratuwa Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (70.2%) and a significant Muslim population (11.8%) [1]

Religion in Moratuwa[1]

  Buddhist (68.2%)
  Roman Catholic (19.8%)
  Other Christian (7.8%)
  Hindu (2.1%)
  Muslim (2.0%)
  Other (0.1%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Moratuwa and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Moratuwa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2020.
  6. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  7. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  8. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  9. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  10. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  11. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  12. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Moratuwa and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Moratuwa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  15. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  16. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  17. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  18. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  19. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  20. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  21. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.