Mirigama Polling Division

Mirigama
Polling Division
Location of Mirigama
Coordinates: 7°13′18″N 80°06′57″E / 7.221769°N 80.115856°E / 7.221769; 80.115856
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictGampaha Electoral District
Area
 • Total
197.07 km2 (76.09 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
164,580
 • Density835/km2 (2,160/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-02E

The Mirigama Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Gampaha Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Mirigama has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Mirigama is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Mirigama Gampaha Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.23% SLPP 7.17%
2015 UPFA NDF 3.26% NDF 4.90%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.04% UPFA 5.37%
2005 UPFA UPFA 0.27% UPFA 4.56%
1999 PA PA 2.89% PA 2.33%
1994 PA PA 1.54% PA 0.72%
1988 SLFP SLFP 0.60% UNP 3.42%
1982 UNP UNP 0.97% UNP 1.51%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 1.47% 8/8 3.75%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mirigama[4] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 61,478 59.53% 855,870 59.28% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 35,184 34.07% 494,671 34.26% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 4,720 4.57% 61,760 4.28% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,897 1.84% 31,499 2.18% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 103,279 99.06% 1,443,800 98.92% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 981 0.94% 15,751 1.08% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 104,260 83.68% 1,459,551 83.31% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 124,599 1,751,892 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mirigama[5] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 51,244 52.75% 664,347 49.49% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 45,202 46.53% 669,007 49.83% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 701 0.72% 9,142 0.68% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 97,147 99.10% 1,342,496 98.92% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 880 0.90% 14,647 1.08% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 98,027 78.62% 1,357,143 80.77% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 124,679 1,680,263 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mirigama[6] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 54,697 63.65% 718,716 61.66% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 30,169 35.11% 434,506 37.28% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,067 1.24% 12,426 1.07% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 85,933 99.17% 1,165,648 99.24% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 719 0.83% 8,960 0.76% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 86,652 75.64% 1,174,608 78.03% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 114,566 1,505,363 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mirigama[7] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,537 55.00% 596,698 54.78% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 36,345 43.89% 481,764 44.23% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 919 1.11% 10,815 0.99% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 82,801 98.83% 1,089,277 98.94% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 982 1.17% 11,724 1.06% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 83,783 77.90% 1,101,001 79.17% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 107,553 1,390,691 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mirigama[8] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 38,075 52.86% 532,796 56.58% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 28,456 39.51% 353,969 37.59% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 4,213 5.85% 40,472 4.30% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,281 1.78% 14,382 1.53% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 72,025 97.80% 941,619 97.84% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,619 2.20% 20,768 2.16% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 73,644 75.99% 962,387 77.12% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 96,907 1,247,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mirigama[9] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 40,288 63.13% 550,654 64.74% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 22,585 35.39% 288,608 33.93% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 948 1.49% 11,256 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 63,821 97.78% 850,518 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,446 2.22% 13,137 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 65,267 72.96% 863,655 74.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 89,455 1,164,625 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mirigama[10] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 27,712 49.82% 355,553 48.83% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 26,835 48.25% 350,092 48.08% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 1,074 1.93% 22,467 3.09% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 55,621 98.48% 728,112 98.63% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 860 1.52% 10,108 1.37% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 56,481 71.54% 738,220 74.93% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 78,953 985,206 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mirigama[11] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,289 52.20% 365,847 52.50% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 24,143 41.60% 301,808 43.31% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 3,186 5.49% 23,701 3.40% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 412 0.71% 5,491 0.79% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 58,030 99.18% 696,847 99.15% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 478 0.82% 5,992 0.85% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 58,508 82.76% 702,839 82.70% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 70,695 849,896 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Mirigama has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Mirigama is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Mirigama Gampaha Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 1.66% UNP 2.11%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.82% UPFA 4.76%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.18% UPFA 4.01%
2001 UNP UNP 1.22% UNP 2.48%
2000 PA PA 2.52% PA 0.95%
1994 PA PA 2.36% PA 2.66%
1989 UNP UNP 2.36% UNP 5.58%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 7/7 2.02% 7/7 3.22%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mirigama[14] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 41,014 46.84% 549,958 44.96% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 39,794 45.45% 577,004 47.17% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 6,255 7.14% 87,880 7.18% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 491 0.56% 8,332 0.68% 81,501 0.73%
Valid Votes 87,554 95.52% 1,223,174 95.51% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,997 4.36% 56,246 4.39% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 91,662 73.52% 1,280,647 78.21% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 124,679 1,637,537 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mirigama[15] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,428 66.72% 589,476 63.40% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 17,971 26.40% 266,523 28.67% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 4,491 6.60% 69,747 7.50% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 194 0.28% 3,985 0.43% 19,003 0.24%
Valid Votes 68,084 94.99% 929,731 94.83% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,522 4.91% 50,234 5.12% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 71,672 62.56% 980,467 65.06% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 114,566 1,506,969 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mirigama[16] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 39,853 53.32% 509,963 51.52% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 27,523 36.83% 367,572 37.14% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 6,775 9.06% 102,516 10.36% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 588 0.79% 9,691 0.98% 57,229 0.62%
Valid Votes 74,739 95.29% 989,742 95.96% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,677 4.69% 41,462 4.02% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 78,436 75.33% 1,031,464 77.72% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 104,122 1,327,145 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mirigama[17] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 33,405 44.16% 437,289 43.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 31,014 41.00% 428,780 43.08% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 10,143 13.41% 113,990 11.45% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,084 1.43% 15,171 1.52% 137,826 1.54%
Valid Votes 75,646 95.78% 995,230 96.30% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,330 4.22% 38,187 3.70% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 78,976 78.32% 1,033,417 80.36% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 100,833 1,285,973 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mirigama[18] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 33,116 45.74% 470,018 48.87% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 30,025 41.47% 378,328 39.34% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 6,732 9.30% 73,110 7.60% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 982 1.36% 11,013 1.15% 185,593 2.16%
SU 813 1.12% 20,297 2.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 737 1.02% 8,943 0.93% 133,530 1.55%
Valid Votes 72,405 N/A 961,709 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mirigama[19] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 37,512 54.28% 509,030 56.79% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 30,492 44.12% 375,631 41.91% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 1,100 1.59% 11,627 1.30% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 69,104 96.19% 896,288 96.39% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,739 3.81% 33,553 3.61% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 71,843 80.31% 929,841 79.65% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 89,455 1,167,469 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mirigama[20] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 33,179 56.87% 385,733 54.14% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 22,985 39.40% 294,490 41.34% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 1,618 2.77% 10,549 1.48% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 557 0.95% 21,665 3.04% 141,983 2.54%
Valid Votes 58,339 95.56% 712,437 95.64% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,713 4.44% 32,497 4.36% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 61,052 79.04% 744,934 76.82% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 77,242 969,658 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Mirigama Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (94.7%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Mirigama Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Mirigama[1]

  Sinhalese (94.7%)
  Moor (4.5%)
  Other (0.8%)

Religion

The Mirigama Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (93.5%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Mirigama Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (71.3%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (19.5%) [1]

Religion in Mirigama[1]

  Buddhist (93.5%)
  Muslim (4.7%)
  Roman Catholic (1.1%)
  Other (0.7%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mirigama and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mirigama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mirigama and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mirigama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.