List of wave elections

This is a list of wave elections, or electoral waves or political waves that exist throughout history.

Terminology

Political analyst Charlie Cook describes wave elections as the result of an "overarching, nationwide dynamic," such as a high or low presidential approval rating, economic conditions, and scandals.[1][2] Cook contrasts wave elections with "micro-elections" in which neither party makes significant gains, and candidates, local issues, and other factors not strictly related to party alignment have a stronger role than in wave elections.[1] Although several wave elections may occur in a row, wave elections are usually considered to be the exception rather than the norm.[2]

Electoral waves

19th century

20th century

  • The Constitutional Wave saw a wave in new constitutional monarchies and democracies formed like the 1906 Russian Legislative Election,1906 Persian Legislative Election, 1908 Ottoman General Election, and etc.
  • The Nordic Progressive Suffrage Wave from 1907 to 1915 saw a success of Progressivism in Nordic countries inspired by the 1907 Finnish Parliamentary Election which led to success in some areas in elections in Nordic area.[5]
  • The Post-WW1 Socialist Wave from 1918 to 1923 saw various socialist parties win elections in Germany, Italy, Austria, UK, Portugal and many more.[6]
  • The interwar Christian democratic wave was catalyzed by the 1919 Italian People's Party breakthrough election, demonstrating that Catholic political parties could mobilize mass electorates to form a centrist, anti-extremist shield, directly influencing the central coalition roles of the German Centre Party and the Czechoslovak People's Party throughout the 1920s.[7]
  • The interwar conservative wave was sparked by the 1920 U.S. presidential election where Warren G. Harding's "Return to Normalcy" campaign crushed the incumbent interventionist Democrats inspiring center-right parties across Western democracies to win major parliamentary majorities, such as the UK Conservative victory in 1922 and the French Bloc National in 1919 from 1920-28.[8][9][10][11]
  • The Post-WW1 Agrarian Wave from 1920s to 1930s was series of Agrarian parties participating in elections and winning some in the aftermath of World War I include in Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, the Baltics and others.[12][13][14]
  • First Reverse Wave Political waves:
    • The Fascist Electoral Wave was series of fascist parties succeeding and participating in elections including in Italy, Germany, Austria and others.[15][16]
    • Beginning with the collapse of Portuguese democracy in 1927, military and civilian elites across the Lusophone and Hispanic worlds systematically replaced competitive democratic elections with fraud, party bans, and corporatist constitutions designed to entrench executive control which lasted until 1936.[17]
    • The Comintern's ultra-left "Third Period" strategy caused severe fragmentation across democratic electorates: by labeling social democrats as "social fascists" and directing communist voters away from pro-democracy coalitions, the far left inadvertently weakened parliamentary defenses against the rise of right-wing authoritarianism.[18][19]
  • Anti-Fascist Popular Front Wave from 1936 to 1939 saw various election wins in France, Spain, Chile and many more by coalitions of the popular front and other left-wing coalitions [20][21]
  • First Pink Tide from 1990s to 2000s saw a wave of socialism of the 21st century victories inspired by Hugo Chávez election which spread across Latin America[22]

21st century

  • First Blue Tide was a reaction to the Pink Tide as a result in Latin America, from the mid to late-2010s [23][24]
  • Second Pink Tide emerged in the late 2010s to early 2020s as a result of the decline of the First Blue tide and the COVID-19 Pandemic in Latin America.[25]
  • Second Blue Tide emerged in the early 2020s following the decline of the Second Pink Tide and resulted in many right-wing governments in Latin America including in Argentina, Chile and more.[26]

See also

References

  1. ^ a b "Midterm Elections Could Be a Wave, But Who's Going to Drown?". NationalJournal.com. Archived from the original on 2013-08-01. Retrieved 2026-07-22.
  2. ^ a b "NationalJournal.com - Wave Elections Might Be Washed Up for Now - Tuesday, April 19, 2011". www.nationaljournal.com. Archived from the original on 2011-04-21. Retrieved 2026-07-22.
  3. ^ Pelz A., William (2016). A People's History of Modern Europe. Pluto Press. doi:10.26530/oapen_610071. ISBN 978-1-78371-767-5.
  4. ^ Hunt, Richard N. (1967-10-01). "The Outlawed Party: Social Democracy in Germany, 1878–1890. By Vernon L. Lidtke. (Princeton, N. J.: Princeton University Press. 1966. Pp. vii, 374. $10.00.)". The American Historical Review. 73 (1): 162–163. doi:10.1086/ahr/73.1.162. ISSN 1937-5239.
  5. ^ Shanahan, S. (1998-09-01). "Waves of Democracy: Social Movements and Political Change. By John Markoff. Pine Forge Press, 1996. 174 pp". Social Forces. 77 (1): 367–369. doi:10.1093/sf/77.1.367. ISSN 0037-7732.
  6. ^ Eley, Geoff (2002-04-11), "Introduction Democracy in Europe", Forging Democracy, Oxford University PressNew York, NY, pp. 3–14, doi:10.1093/oso/9780195037845.003.0001, ISBN 978-0-19-503784-5, retrieved 2026-07-21
  7. ^ Kalyvas, Stathis N. (1996-01-01). The Rise of Christian Democracy in Europe. Cornell University Press. doi:10.7591/9781501731419. ISBN 978-1-5017-3141-9.
  8. ^ Zelikow, Philip; Kennedy, David M. (1999). "Freedom from Fear: The American People in Depression and War, 1929-1945". Foreign Affairs. 78 (6): 149. doi:10.2307/20049569. ISSN 0015-7120. JSTOR 20049569.
  9. ^ Passmore, Kevin (December 1990). "Book Review: Martin Blinkhorn (ed.), Fascists and Conservatives: The Radical Right and the Establishment in Twentieth Century Europe (London: Unwin Hyman, 1990, 292pp., £9.95 pbk.)". Millennium: Journal of International Studies. 19 (3): 490–493. doi:10.1177/03058298900190030202. ISSN 0305-8298.
  10. ^ Stuart, Ball (2013-04-25). "Portrait of a Party: The Conservative Party in Britain 1918-1945". OUP Academic. doi:10.1093/acprof:o (inactive 31 July 2026).{{cite journal}}: CS1 maint: DOI inactive as of July 2026 (link)
  11. ^ Kailitz, Steffen (2011). "Nohlen, Dieter und Philip Stöver (Hrsg.). Elections in Europe. A Data Handbook". Politische Vierteljahresschrift. 52 (2): 326–328. doi:10.5771/0032-3470-2011-2-326. ISSN 0032-3470.
  12. ^ Cabo Villaverde, Miguel (2022-08-02). "Farming The Nation: Agrarian Parties and the National Question in Interwar Europe". Studies on National Movements. 8 (1). doi:10.21825/snm.85272. ISSN 2295-1466.
  13. ^ Vukov, Nikolai (January 2010). "Review: R. J. Crampton, Bulgaria, Oxford University Press: Oxford, 2007; 532 pp., 5 maps; 9780198205142, £42.00 (hbk)". European History Quarterly. 40 (1): 123–124. doi:10.1177/02656914100400010211. ISSN 0265-6914.
  14. ^ Nohlen, Dieter; Stöver, Philip (2010), Elections in Europe, Nomos, pp. 69–124, doi:10.5771/9783845223414-69, ISBN 978-3-8452-2341-4, retrieved 2026-07-21
  15. ^ "Conservatives and fascists in Austria, 1918–34", Fascists and Conservatives, Routledge, 2003-09-02, pp. 106–125, doi:10.4324/9780203393239-6, ISBN 978-0-203-39323-9, retrieved 2026-07-21
  16. ^ Passmore, Kevin (December 1990). "Book Review: Martin Blinkhorn (ed.), Fascists and Conservatives: The Radical Right and the Establishment in Twentieth Century Europe (London: Unwin Hyman, 1990, 292pp., £9.95 pbk.)". Millennium: Journal of International Studies. 19 (3): 490–493. doi:10.1177/03058298900190030202. ISSN 0305-8298.
  17. ^ Wheeler, Douglas L. (1978-02-01). "Howard J. Wiarda. Corporatism and Development: The Portuguese Experience. Amherst: University of Massachusetts Press. 1977. Pp. xiii, 447. $20.00". The American Historical Review. 83 (1): 181. doi:10.1086/ahr/83.1.181. ISSN 1937-5239.
  18. ^ Hammer, Darrell P.; Borkenau, F. (1963). "World Communism: A History of the Communist International". The Slavic and East European Journal. 7 (1): 92. doi:10.2307/304818. ISSN 0037-6752. JSTOR 304818.
  19. ^ Borkenau, F. (1962). World Communism. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press. doi:10.3998/mpub.12945589. ISBN 978-0-472-91079-3. {{cite book}}: ISBN / Date incompatibility (help)
  20. ^ Greene, Nathanael (1990-06-01). "<scp>julian jackson</scp>. The Popular Front in France: Defending Democracy, 1934–38. New York: Cambridge University Press. 1988. Pp. xv, 353. $54.50". The American Historical Review. 95 (3): 842. doi:10.1086/ahr/95.3.842. ISSN 1937-5239.
  21. ^ Golsan, Richard (April 1991). "The Popular Front in France: Defending Democracy 1934–38Jackson, Julian. The Popular Front in France: Defending Democracy 1934–38 . Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1988. Pp. 353". Contemporary French Civilization. 15 (1): 144–145. doi:10.3828/cfc.1991.15.1.014. ISSN 0147-9156.
  22. ^ Weyland, Kurt (11 January 2024). Democracy's Resilience to Populism's Threat: Countering Global Alarmism (1 ed.). Cambridge University Press. 4 - “Bolivarian” and Left-Wing Populism in Latin America. doi:10.1017/9781009432504.004. ISBN 978-1-009-43250-4. Retrieved 25 January 2024.
  23. ^ "On the Margins of the Pink Tide", The Ebb of the Pink Tide, Pluto Press, 2018-11-20, pp. 133–160, doi:10.2307/j.ctv7vcsq4.9, ISBN 978-1-78680-339-9, retrieved 2026-07-22
  24. ^ "Latin America's new 'pink tide' gains pace as Colombia shifts left; Brazil up next". Reuters. Archived from the original on 2025-10-16. Retrieved 2026-07-22.
  25. ^ "The Pink Tide", Neoliberal Hegemony and the Pink Tide in Latin America, Palgrave Macmillan, 2014, doi:10.1057/9781137444684.0009, ISBN 978-1-137-44468-4, retrieved 2026-07-22
  26. ^ Guerrero, Víctor Sanz (2026-07-20). "From pink to blue: this is how the map of Latin America has changed, opening the door to Trump". Ara in English. Retrieved 2026-07-22.

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