Kundasale Polling Division

Kundasale
Polling Division
Location of Kundasale
Coordinates: 7°19′11″N 80°42′10″E / 7.319743°N 80.702858°E / 7.319743; 80.702858
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceCentral Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKandy Electoral District
Area
 • Total
79.12 km2 (30.55 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
127,070
 • Density1,606/km2 (4,160/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-04F

The Kundasale Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kandy Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kundasale has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Kundasale is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kundasale Kandy Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 3.38% SLPP 1.27%
2015 NDF NDF 0.39% NDF 3.66%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.28% UPFA 2.35%
2005 UNP UNP 1.66% UPFA 4.19%
1999 PA PA 2.23% PA 3.66%
1994 PA PA 0.63% PA 6.21%
1988 UNP UNP 0.05% UNP 2.95%
1982 UNP UNP 0.72% UNP 3.96%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 1.29% 8/8 3.53%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale[4] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 43,788 53.81% 471,502 50.43% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 33,293 40.92% 417,355 44.64% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,539 3.12% 23,539 2.52% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,750 2.15% 22,479 2.40% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 81,370 99.15% 934,875 99.04% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 700 0.85% 9,020 0.96% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 82,070 84.34% 943,895 84.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 97,309 1,111,860 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale[5] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 41,238 55.06% 466,994 54.56% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 32,930 43.97% 378,585 44.23% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 722 0.96% 10,329 1.21% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 74,890 98.95% 855,908 98.73% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 794 1.05% 10,993 1.27% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 75,684 79.78% 866,901 79.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 94,870 1,087,542 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale[6] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 36,212 55.66% 406,636 54.16% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 27,852 42.81% 329,492 43.89% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 996 1.53% 14,658 1.95% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 65,060 99.00% 750,786 98.85% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 656 1.00% 8,700 1.15% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 65,716 76.54% 759,486 75.87% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 85,857 1,001,074 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale[7] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 31,321 52.75% 387,150 54.33% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 27,385 46.12% 315,672 44.30% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 666 1.12% 9,798 1.37% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 59,372 98.76% 712,620 98.64% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 746 1.24% 9,817 1.36% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 60,118 78.06% 722,437 77.37% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 77,020 933,754 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale[8] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,259 47.80% 308,187 50.29% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 22,974 47.22% 276,360 45.10% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,569 3.22% 15,512 2.53% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 852 1.75% 12,752 2.08% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 48,654 97.17% 612,811 97.29% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,415 2.83% 17,060 2.71% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 50,069 76.66% 629,871 77.61% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 65,317 811,606 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale[9] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,150 55.98% 320,110 56.64% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 18,243 42.29% 235,519 41.68% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 747 1.73% 9,488 1.68% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 43,140 97.56% 565,117 97.55% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,081 2.44% 14,179 2.45% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 44,221 77.68% 579,296 77.85% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 56,925 744,151 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale[10] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 15,231 54.82% 234,124 54.88% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 12,118 43.62% 186,187 43.65% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 433 1.56% 6,266 1.47% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 27,782 98.56% 426,577 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 407 1.44% 6,167 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 28,189 57.72% 432,744 68.36% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 48,841 633,030 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kundasale[11] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,421 58.78% 289,621 59.80% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,898 37.12% 178,647 36.89% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,138 3.28% 12,493 2.58% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 286 0.82% 3,536 0.73% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 34,743 98.99% 484,297 99.07% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 355 1.01% 4,548 0.93% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 35,098 84.95% 488,845 89.44% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 41,314 546,565 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Kundasale has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Kundasale is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kundasale Kandy Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 0.51% UNP 5.59%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.65% UPFA 3.77%
2004 UNP UNP 2.66% UPFA 3.76%
2001 UNP UNP 1.07% UNP 4.19%
2000 UNP PA 3.14% PA 2.42%
1994 UNP UNP 0.71% PA 4.26%
1989 UNP UNP 2.85% UNP 8.17%
Matches/Mean MAE 4/7 5/7 1.94% 7/7 4.59%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale[14] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 37,355 54.83% 440,761 55.61% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 26,637 39.10% 309,152 39.00% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 3,250 4.77% 30,669 3.87% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 892 1.31% 12,055 1.52% 100,088 0.90%
Valid Votes 68,134 96.15% 792,637 95.48% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,695 3.80% 37,065 4.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 70,865 74.70% 830,165 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 94,870 1,049,160 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale[15] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,070 57.32% 339,819 60.81% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 16,282 35.80% 192,798 34.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,775 6.10% 23,728 4.25% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 356 0.78% 2,459 0.44% 30,354 0.38%
Valid Votes 45,483 90.43% 558,804 90.49% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,783 9.51% 58,333 9.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 50,298 58.58% 617,559 61.70% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 85,857 1,000,861 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale[16] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,807 46.89% 313,859 49.99% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 23,918 45.21% 268,131 42.71% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 3,896 7.36% 42,192 6.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 286 0.54% 3,684 0.59% 64,227 0.69%
Valid Votes 52,907 93.62% 627,866 93.24% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,607 6.38% 45,484 6.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 56,514 75.57% 673,380 76.47% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 74,784 880,634 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale[17] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,815 53.75% 314,297 52.77% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 18,908 37.90% 233,637 39.23% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,355 6.73% 37,146 6.24% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 809 1.62% 10,496 1.76% 129,347 1.44%
Valid Votes 49,887 93.60% 595,576 93.40% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,413 6.40% 42,103 6.60% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 53,300 75.73% 637,679 76.03% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 70,383 838,687 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale[18] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,106 44.45% 243,623 40.27% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 21,906 44.05% 282,282 46.66% 3,899,329 45.33%
JVP 2,315 4.65% 21,565 3.56% 518,725 6.03%
CWC 967 1.94% 6,108 1.01% 22,985 0.27%
SU 898 1.81% 10,999 1.82% 127,859 1.49%
NUA 883 1.78% 32,023 5.29% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 657 1.32% 8,328 1.38% 138,824 1.61%
Valid Votes 49,732 N/A 604,928 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale[19] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,434 51.39% 301,824 52.35% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 20,461 46.87% 267,683 46.43% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 756 1.73% 7,045 1.22% 175,576 2.21%
Valid Votes 43,651 94.72% 576,552 94.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,434 5.28% 31,019 5.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 46,085 80.96% 607,571 81.67% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 56,925 743,939 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kundasale[20] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 9,594 64.41% 204,973 61.72% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 4,206 28.24% 105,977 31.91% 1,785,369 31.90%
SLMC 685 4.60% 14,697 4.43% 202,016 3.61%
USA 295 1.98% 5,147 1.55% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 116 0.78% 1,315 0.40% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 14,896 92.40% 332,109 93.69% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,225 7.60% 22,374 6.31% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 16,121 33.76% 354,483 56.42% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 47,758 628,317 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kundasale Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (82.6%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Kundasale Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (74.4%) and a significant Moor population (13.9%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kundasale[1]

  Sinhalese (82.6%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (8.0%)
  Moor (5.6%)
  Indian Tamil (3.3%)
  Other (0.5%)

Religion

The Kundasale Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (81.4%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Kundasale Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (73.4%) and a significant Muslim population (14.3%) [1]

Religion in Kundasale[1]

  Buddhist (81.4%)
  Hindu (9.6%)
  Muslim (5.9%)
  Roman Catholic (1.7%)
  Other Christian (1.3%)
  Other (0.0%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kundasale and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kundasale and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kundasale and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kundasale and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.