Kothmale Polling Division

Kothmale
Polling Division
Location of Kothmale
Coordinates: 7°02′20″N 80°37′46″E / 7.038898°N 80.629340°E / 7.038898; 80.629340
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceCentral Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictNuwara Eliya Electoral District
Area
 • Total
216.52 km2 (83.60 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
101,180
 • Density467/km2 (1,210/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-06B

The Kothmale Polling Division is a polling division in the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District of Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential election results

Summary

The winner of Kothmale has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Kothmale is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 NDF NDF 3.57% SLPP 11.33%
2015 NDF NDF 4.49% NDF 8.29%
2010 NDF NDF 1.61% UPFA 11.24%
2005 UNP UNP 6.12% UPFA 15.70%
1999 PA UNP 2.01% PA 2.81%
1994 PA PA 5.80% PA 10.34%
1988 UNP UNP 6.11% UNP 4.10%
1982 UNP UNP 4.17% UNP 3.84%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 4/8 4.23% 8/8 8.46%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale[4] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 36,901 54.70% 277,913 58.28% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 27,572 40.87% 175,823 36.87% 6,924,255 52.25%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,929 2.86% 17,237 3.61% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,057 1.57% 5,891 1.24% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 67,459 98.78% 476,864 98.52% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 833 1.22% 7,155 1.48% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 68,292 85.22% 484,019 85.06% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 80,139 569,028 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale[5] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 36,343 59.48% 272,605 63.88% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 23,821 38.99% 145,339 34.06% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 935 1.53% 8,822 2.07% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 61,099 98.36% 426,766 98.31% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,018 1.64% 7,329 1.69% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 62,117 79.57% 434,095 79.25% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 78,068 547,766 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale[6] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 26,727 50.84% 180,604 52.14% 4,173,185 40.15%
UPFA 24,120 45.88% 151,604 43.77% 6,015,934 57.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,192 2.27% 10,040 2.90% 165,268 1.59%
DUNF 531 1.01% 4,134 1.19% 39,226 0.38%
Valid Votes 52,570 98.03% 346,382 98.17% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 1,057 1.97% 6,462 1.83% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 53,627 75.82% 352,844 75.65% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 70,730 466,440 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale[7] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 33,073 64.16% 250,428 70.37% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 17,645 34.23% 99,550 27.97% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 830 1.61% 5,897 1.66% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 51,548 98.89% 355,875 98.50% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 576 1.11% 5,410 1.50% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 52,124 78.98% 361,285 79.49% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 65,998 454,528 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale[8] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,068 49.23% 147,210 46.88% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 20,984 46.82% 152,836 48.68% 3,602,748 42.71%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 945 2.11% 8,065 2.57% 176,679 2.09%
JVP 826 1.84% 5,879 1.87% 343,927 4.08%
Valid Votes 44,823 97.41% 313,990 97.21% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,193 2.59% 8,997 2.79% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 46,016 77.56% 322,987 80.23% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 59,333 402,589 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale[9] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,034 51.58% 168,929 57.14% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 19,708 46.14% 116,928 39.55% 2,715,283 35.91%
Ind 2 555 1.30% 6,314 2.14% 58,888 0.78%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 419 0.98% 3,459 1.17% 78,152 1.03%
Valid Votes 42,716 96.28% 295,630 96.15% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,651 3.72% 11,840 3.85% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 44,367 77.87% 307,470 78.19% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 56,977 393,221 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale[10] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,822 56.32% 112,135 62.15% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 13,549 42.82% 64,907 35.98% 2,289,857 44.95%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 272 0.86% 3,371 1.87% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 31,643 98.75% 180,413 98.19% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 401 1.25% 3,320 1.81% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 32,044 81.76% 183,733 79.44% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 39,194 231,278 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Kothmale[11] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,684 59.19% 109,017 63.10% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,036 38.13% 57,093 33.05% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 616 1.95% 4,569 2.64% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 229 0.73% 2,090 1.21% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 31,565 99.00% 172,769 98.83% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 320 1.00% 2,048 1.17% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 31,885 85.89% 174,817 85.71% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 37,124 203,968 8,235,358

Parliamentary election results

Summary

The winner of Kothmale has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Kothmale is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kothmale Nuwara Eliya Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 1.95% UNP 6.35%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.17% UPFA 2.10%
2004 UNP UNP 3.58% UPFA 11.74%
2001 UNP UNP 4.71% UNP 11.07%
2000 PA PA 3.41% PA 5.04%
1994 UNP UNP 2.58% PA 13.13%
1989 UNP UNP 1.64% UNP 6.94%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 5/7 3.15% 7/7 8.05%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale[14] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 31,373 57.12% 228,920 59.06% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 22,031 40.11% 147,348 38.02% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 1,034 1.88% 5,590 1.44% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 487 0.89% 5,727 1.48% 87,743 0.79%
Valid Votes 54,925 92.38% 387,585 92.12% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,482 7.54% 32,788 7.79% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 59,454 76.16% 420,734 78.77% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 78,068 534,150 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale[15] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 24,790 61.45% 149,111 56.06% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 13,553 33.60% 96,885 36.43% 2,357,057 29.37%
UPF 1,120 2.78% 13,189 4.96% 24,670 0.31%
DNA 700 1.74% 3,984 1.50% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 177 0.44% 2,793 1.05% 34,436 0.43%
Valid Votes 40,340 88.25% 265,962 87.64% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 5,327 11.65% 37,236 12.27% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 45,711 64.63% 303,470 64.94% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 70,730 467,332 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale[16] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,390 52.96% 176,971 54.02% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 15,964 33.30% 82,945 25.32% 4,223,126 45.70%
UPF 4,182 8.72% 49,728 15.18% 49,728 0.54%
CDUA 1,563 3.26% 10,736 3.28% 10,736 0.12%
JHU 593 1.24% 4,454 1.36% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 250 0.52% 2,775 0.85% 42,827 0.46%
Valid Votes 47,942 94.30% 327,609 93.06% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,896 5.70% 24,413 6.94% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 50,838 78.16% 352,022 80.70% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 65,044 436,236 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale[17] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,549 63.77% 215,157 68.28% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 14,421 31.12% 77,733 24.67% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 1,508 3.25% 11,080 3.52% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 859 1.85% 11,129 3.53% 143,834 1.61%
Valid Votes 46,337 92.72% 315,099 91.74% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,638 7.28% 28,373 8.26% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 49,975 80.30% 343,472 82.32% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 62,232 417,264 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale[18] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,623 49.94% 158,018 52.53% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 20,283 46.85% 126,486 42.05% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 950 2.19% 6,299 2.09% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 438 1.01% 10,003 3.33% 247,240 2.87%
Valid Votes 43,294 N/A 300,806 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale[19] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,542 59.58% 175,478 58.12% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 16,112 36.17% 97,658 32.35% 3,887,805 48.94%
IND1 1,610 3.61% 27,374 9.07% 48,199 0.61%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 284 0.64% 1,408 0.47% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 44,548 94.47% 301,918 93.33% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,607 5.53% 21,592 6.67% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 47,155 82.76% 323,510 82.37% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 56,977 392,770 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Kothmale[20] Nuwara Eliya Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,712 63.76% 109,853 63.34% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 9,175 31.26% 47,128 27.18% 1,785,369 31.90%
DPLF 710 2.42% 10,509 6.06% 19,150 0.34%
SLMC 492 1.68% 1,720 0.99% 202,016 3.61%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 260 0.89% 4,214 2.43% 141,983 2.54%
Valid Votes 29,349 92.33% 173,424 92.73% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,439 7.67% 13,600 7.27% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 31,788 82.17% 187,024 81.49% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 38,688 229,519 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Kothmale Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (52.6%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (36.4%) . In comparison, the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District (which contains the Kothmale Polling Division) has an Indian Tamil majority (53.1%) and a significant Sinhalese population (39.6%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kothmale[1]

  Sinhalese (52.6%)
  Indian Tamil (36.4%)
  Moor (6.8%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (4.0%)
  Other (0.3%)

Religion

The Kothmale Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (52.3%) and a significant Hindu population (36.5%) . In comparison, the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District (which contains the Kothmale Polling Division) has a Hindu majority (51.0%) and a significant Buddhist population (39.1%) [1]

Religion in Kothmale[1]

  Buddhist (52.3%)
  Hindu (36.5%)
  Muslim (7.2%)
  Roman Catholic (2.4%)
  Other Christian (1.6%)
  Other (0.0%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kothmale and the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kothmale and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kothmale and the Nuwara Eliya Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kothmale and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.