Horana Polling Division

Horana
Polling Division
Location of Horana
Coordinates: 6°45′35″N 80°05′11″E / 6.759685°N 80.086365°E / 6.759685; 80.086365
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKalutara Electoral District
Area
 • Total
218.99 km2 (84.55 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
167,260
 • Density764/km2 (1,980/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-03C

The Horana Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kalutara Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Horana has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Horana is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Horana Kalutara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 4.50% SLPP 11.18%
2015 UPFA UPFA 4.61% NDF 9.48%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.21% UPFA 8.08%
2005 UPFA UPFA 0.41% UPFA 5.55%
1999 PA PA 1.15% PA 2.79%
1994 PA PA 0.18% PA 1.11%
1988 SLFP SLFP 1.14% UNP 2.89%
1982 UNP UNP 1.05% UNP 3.12%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 2.03% 8/8 5.53%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horana[4] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 69,822 64.30% 482,920 59.49% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 32,967 30.36% 284,213 35.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 3,532 3.25% 27,681 3.41% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,262 2.08% 16,949 2.09% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 108,583 99.19% 811,763 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 883 0.81% 6,847 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 109,466 85.52% 818,610 85.71% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 128,005 955,080 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horana[5] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 57,633 57.34% 395,890 52.65% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 42,065 41.85% 349,404 46.46% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 819 0.81% 6,690 0.89% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 100,517 99.06% 751,984 98.90% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 952 0.94% 8,381 1.10% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 101,469 82.82% 760,365 82.08% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 122,511 926,346 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horana[6] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 57,292 66.34% 412,562 63.06% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 27,818 32.21% 231,807 35.43% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,256 1.45% 9,880 1.51% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 86,366 99.23% 654,249 99.31% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 666 0.77% 4,541 0.69% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 87,032 80.01% 658,790 79.05% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 108,781 833,360 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horana[7] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 44,801 55.94% 341,693 55.48% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 34,300 42.83% 266,043 43.20% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 988 1.23% 8,124 1.32% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 80,089 99.01% 615,860 98.95% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 802 0.99% 6,517 1.05% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 80,891 80.82% 622,377 79.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 100,085 781,175 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horana[8] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 37,559 54.40% 281,217 52.88% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 27,700 40.12% 217,423 40.88% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 2,648 3.84% 23,770 4.47% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,133 1.64% 9,399 1.77% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 69,040 97.99% 531,809 97.83% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,417 2.01% 11,796 2.17% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 70,457 81.28% 543,605 78.23% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 86,680 694,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horana[9] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 36,064 61.21% 295,686 61.47% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 21,886 37.14% 178,466 37.10% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 972 1.65% 6,867 1.43% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 58,922 98.44% 481,019 98.50% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 932 1.56% 7,309 1.50% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 59,854 76.86% 488,328 73.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 77,877 660,191 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horana[10] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 24,116 48.89% 179,761 49.57% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 23,868 48.39% 169,510 46.74% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 1,339 2.71% 13,375 3.69% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 49,323 98.73% 362,646 98.23% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 632 1.27% 6,537 1.77% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 49,955 71.98% 369,183 64.20% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 69,405 575,008 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Horana[11] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,056 51.51% 211,592 50.15% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 23,518 44.77% 185,874 44.06% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,361 2.59% 14,499 3.44% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 593 1.13% 9,927 2.35% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 52,528 99.13% 421,892 98.76% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 459 0.87% 5,290 1.24% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 52,987 86.36% 427,182 83.97% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 61,356 508,744 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Horana has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Horana is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Horana Kalutara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 5.03% UNP 7.95%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.44% UPFA 5.60%
2004 UPFA UPFA 0.97% UPFA 3.85%
2001 PA UNP 2.47% UNP 3.51%
2000 PA PA 3.08% PA 3.69%
1994 PA PA 1.05% PA 2.33%
1989 UNP UNP 4.22% UNP 4.69%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 2.89% 7/7 4.52%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horana[14] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 50,024 54.27% 338,801 48.58% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 36,325 39.41% 310,234 44.48% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 5,037 5.46% 38,475 5.52% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 795 0.86% 9,951 1.43% 85,579 0.77%
Valid Votes 92,181 97.07% 697,461 97.00% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,760 2.91% 21,366 2.97% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 94,960 77.51% 719,001 80.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 122,511 897,349 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horana[15] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 44,136 67.70% 313,836 63.74% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 16,613 25.48% 139,596 28.35% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 4,020 6.17% 36,722 7.46% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 423 0.65% 2,246 0.46% 34,923 0.44%
Valid Votes 65,192 91.33% 492,400 90.41% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 6,100 8.55% 51,751 9.50% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 71,379 65.62% 544,606 65.21% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 108,781 835,186 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horana[16] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,421 52.87% 291,208 51.72% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 26,764 36.83% 212,721 37.78% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 7,166 9.86% 56,615 10.06% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 315 0.43% 2,475 0.44% 49,030 0.53%
Valid Votes 72,666 95.52% 563,019 94.82% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,407 4.48% 30,741 5.18% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 76,073 78.68% 593,760 79.58% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 96,686 746,138 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horana[17] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,788 44.37% 226,468 40.91% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 31,462 43.92% 254,339 45.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 7,013 9.79% 60,451 10.92% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,375 1.92% 12,361 2.23% 137,091 1.53%
Valid Votes 71,638 94.99% 553,619 94.44% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,779 5.01% 32,617 5.56% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 75,417 82.00% 586,236 81.68% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 91,968 717,764 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horana[18] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 36,659 52.19% 255,175 46.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 27,259 38.81% 217,215 39.89% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,191 5.97% 38,373 7.05% 518,725 6.03%
SU 1,233 1.76% 15,619 2.87% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 900 1.28% 18,136 3.33% 321,730 3.74%
Valid Votes 70,242 N/A 544,518 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horana[19] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 32,374 52.84% 271,754 53.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 27,562 44.98% 221,115 43.75% 3,498,370 44.04%
MEP 771 1.26% 5,914 1.17% 68,538 0.86%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 565 0.92% 6,577 1.30% 90,891 1.14%
Valid Votes 61,272 95.85% 505,360 95.21% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,656 4.15% 25,397 4.79% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 63,928 82.09% 530,757 80.20% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 77,877 661,793 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Horana[20] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,770 55.69% 160,069 49.84% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 17,658 38.16% 131,510 40.94% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 1,778 3.84% 12,342 3.84% 141,983 2.54%
MEP 839 1.81% 2,690 0.84% 90,480 1.62%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 232 0.50% 14,582 4.54% 269,739 4.82%
Valid Votes 46,277 94.14% 321,193 94.10% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,883 5.86% 20,139 5.90% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 49,160 72.38% 341,332 59.86% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 67,915 570,193 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Horana Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (95.3%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Horana Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (86.8%) [1]

Ethnicity in Horana[1]

  Sinhalese (95.3%)
  Indian Tamil (3.2%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.3%)
  Other (0.2%)

Religion

The Horana Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (94.5%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Horana Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (83.4%) [1]

Religion in Horana[1]

  Buddhist (94.5%)
  Hindu (3.7%)
  Other (1.7%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Horana and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Horana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Horana and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Horana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.