Avissawella Polling Division

Avissawella
Polling Division
Location of Avissawella
Coordinates: 6°53′01″N 80°08′35″E / 6.883521°N 80.143088°E / 6.883521; 80.143088
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictColombo Electoral District
Area
 • Total
256.81 km2 (99.15 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
179,074
 • Density697/km2 (1,810/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-01K

The Avissawella Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Colombo Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Avissawella has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Avissawella is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Avissawella Colombo Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 6.93% SLPP 7.84%
2015 UPFA NDF 10.75% NDF 6.32%
2010 UPFA UPFA 11.14% UPFA 5.87%
2005 UPFA UNP 5.15% UPFA 2.65%
1999 PA PA 2.68% PA 1.13%
1994 PA PA 8.48% PA 6.01%
1988 UNP UNP 1.12% UNP 2.10%
1982 UNP UNP 7.13% UNP 3.44%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 6.67% 8/8 4.42%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Avissawella[4] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 61,755 60.85% 727,713 53.19% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 34,532 34.03% 559,921 40.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 3,184 3.14% 53,803 3.93% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,019 1.99% 26,740 1.95% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 101,490 99.13% 1,368,177 98.89% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 887 0.87% 15,333 1.11% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 102,377 85.38% 1,383,510 82.82% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 119,905 1,670,403 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Avissawella[5] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 51,351 54.12% 562,614 43.40% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 42,728 45.03% 725,073 55.93% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 801 0.84% 8,673 0.67% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 94,880 98.92% 1,296,360 98.83% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,032 1.08% 15,334 1.17% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 95,912 81.65% 1,311,694 81.34% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 117,472 1,612,660 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Avissawella[6] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 53,664 64.09% 614,740 52.93% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 28,875 34.49% 533,022 45.90% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,193 1.42% 13,620 1.17% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 83,732 99.18% 1,161,382 99.03% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 689 0.82% 11,394 0.97% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 84,421 78.07% 1,172,776 76.09% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 108,138 1,541,242 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Avissawella[7] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 41,936 53.02% 534,431 47.96% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 36,227 45.80% 569,627 51.12% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 935 1.18% 10,192 0.91% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 79,098 98.92% 1,114,250 98.86% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 865 1.08% 12,879 1.14% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 79,963 79.12% 1,127,129 75.85% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 101,065 1,486,021 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Avissawella[8] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 33,957 52.10% 474,310 49.18% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 26,903 41.27% 425,185 44.08% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 2,976 4.57% 44,009 4.56% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,346 2.06% 21,030 2.18% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 65,182 97.76% 964,534 97.06% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,495 2.24% 29,197 2.94% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 66,677 75.84% 993,731 73.39% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 87,913 1,354,025 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Avissawella[9] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,132 55.86% 557,708 64.82% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 23,126 41.50% 288,741 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
SMBP 787 1.41% 6,059 0.70% 32,651 0.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 683 1.23% 7,878 0.92% 104,389 1.38%
Valid Votes 55,728 97.70% 860,386 98.17% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,313 2.30% 16,060 1.83% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 57,041 70.24% 876,446 69.59% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 81,213 1,259,484 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Avissawella[10] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,292 49.36% 361,337 49.14% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 23,721 48.20% 339,958 46.23% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 1,199 2.44% 34,020 4.63% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 49,212 98.86% 735,315 98.49% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 570 1.14% 11,295 1.51% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 49,782 72.26% 746,610 67.53% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 68,892 1,105,583 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Avissawella[11] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,648 50.92% 436,290 57.86% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 23,481 44.87% 274,476 36.40% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,687 3.22% 28,580 3.79% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 513 0.98% 14,685 1.95% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 52,329 98.96% 754,031 98.95% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 551 1.04% 7,990 1.05% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 52,880 84.44% 762,021 76.88% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 62,628 991,194 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Avissawella has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Avissawella is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Avissawella Colombo Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 8.35% UNP 3.28%
2010 UPFA UPFA 11.34% UPFA 4.15%
2004 UPFA UNP 7.58% UPFA 3.47%
2001 UNP UNP 5.46% UNP 2.17%
2000 PA UNP 6.47% PA 2.53%
1994 UNP PA 11.49% PA 8.74%
1989 UNP UNP 11.45% UNP 10.09%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 5/7 8.88% 7/7 4.92%

2020 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Avissawella[14] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPFA 58,477 67.93% 674,603 57.04% 6,853,693 59.09%
SJB 20,308 23.59% 387,145 32.73% 2,771,984 23.9%
JJB 3,761 4.37% 67,600 5.72% 445,958 3.84%
UNP 1,712 1.99% 30,875 2.61% 249,435 2.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,823 2.12% 22,553 1.9% 1,227,859 11.02%
Valid Votes 86,081 70.41% 1,182,776 69.2% 11,598,936 71.32%
Rejected Votes 6,907 5.65% 81,034 4.74% 744,373 4.58%
Total Polled 92,988 76.06% 1,263,810 73.94% 12,343,309 75.89%
Registered Electors 122,257 1,709,209 16,263,885

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Avissawella[15] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 42,895 49.38% 474,063 39.25% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 39,106 45.02% 640,743 53.04% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 4,346 5.00% 81,391 6.74% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 513 0.59% 11,752 0.97% 93,045 0.84%
Valid Votes 86,860 95.50% 1,207,949 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,044 4.45% 43,372 3.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 90,952 77.42% 1,252,271 78.93% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 117,472 1,586,598 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Avissawella[16] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 42,259 65.27% 480,896 51.23% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 16,730 25.84% 339,750 36.19% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 5,432 8.39% 110,683 11.79% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 327 0.51% 7,292 0.78% 48,240 0.60%
Valid Votes 64,748 93.79% 938,723 94.85% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,225 6.12% 50,354 5.09% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 69,035 63.84% 989,729 64.17% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 108,138 1,542,457 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Avissawella[17] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,380 51.57% 414,688 39.20% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 28,607 39.46% 441,841 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 5,952 8.21% 190,618 18.02% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 552 0.76% 10,713 1.01% 90,868 0.98%
Valid Votes 72,491 95.39% 1,057,860 96.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,491 4.59% 38,605 3.52% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 75,991 77.53% 1,096,571 74.71% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 98,012 1,467,751 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Avissawella[18] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 32,784 46.46% 546,417 51.62% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 29,176 41.35% 353,401 33.39% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 7,121 10.09% 117,404 11.09% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,484 2.10% 41,259 3.90% 561,281 6.27%
Valid Votes 70,565 95.50% 1,058,481 96.28% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,324 4.50% 40,901 3.72% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 73,889 78.92% 1,099,382 76.31% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 93,630 1,440,682 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Avissawella[19] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 33,986 49.88% 394,146 38.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 26,671 39.15% 440,684 43.45% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,434 6.51% 78,133 7.70% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,121 1.65% 46,998 4.63% 352,098 4.09%
SU 1,086 1.59% 49,671 4.90% 127,859 1.49%
CWC 832 1.22% 4,588 0.45% 22,985 0.27%
Valid Votes 68,130 N/A 1,014,220 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Avissawella[20] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 28,768 46.30% 385,100 41.77% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 20,782 33.45% 469,642 50.94% 3,887,805 48.94%
MEP 11,846 19.07% 42,734 4.64% 68,538 0.86%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 738 1.19% 24,457 2.65% 142,073 1.79%
Valid Votes 62,134 95.57% 921,933 96.18% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,882 4.43% 36,635 3.82% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 65,016 80.06% 958,568 76.04% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 81,213 1,260,686 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Avissawella[21] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,462 47.23% 374,530 51.67% 2,838,005 50.71%
MEP 20,225 40.71% 76,966 10.62% 90,480 1.62%
SLFP 4,131 8.32% 205,053 28.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 1,172 2.36% 7,112 0.98% 67,723 1.21%
USA 523 1.05% 31,873 4.40% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 168 0.34% 29,308 4.04% 202,016 3.61%
Valid Votes 49,681 95.21% 724,842 95.36% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,500 4.79% 35,271 4.64% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 52,181 76.91% 760,113 69.87% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 67,851 1,087,891 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Avissawella Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (90.9%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Avissawella Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (76.5%), a significant Moor population (10.7%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (10.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Avissawella[1]

  Sinhalese (90.9%)
  Indian Tamil (4.5%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (3.2%)
  Moor (1.1%)
  Other (0.2%)

Religion

The Avissawella Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (86.3%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Avissawella Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (70.2%) and a significant Muslim population (11.8%) [1]

Religion in Avissawella[1]

  Buddhist (86.3%)
  Hindu (6.1%)
  Roman Catholic (5.0%)
  Other Christian (1.4%)
  Muslim (1.2%)
  Other (0.0%)

References

  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Avissawella and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Avissawella and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Avissawella and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Avissawella and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2020.
  15. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  16. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  17. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  18. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  19. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  20. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  21. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.