Punxsutawney Phil

Phil being held by a member of the Inner Circle on February 2, 2018

Punxsutawney Phil (/ˌpʌŋksəˈtɔːni/) is a groundhog residing in Young Township near Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, United States, who is the central figure in Punxsutawney's annual Groundhog Day celebration.

Folklore

On February 2 each year,[1] Punxsutawney holds a civic festival with music and food. During the ceremony, which begins well before the winter sunrise, Phil emerges from his temporary home on Gobbler's Knob, located in a rural area about 2 miles (3 km) southeast of the town. According to the tradition, if Phil sees his shadow and returns to his hole, he has predicted six more weeks of winter-like weather.[1] If Phil does not see his shadow, he has predicted an "early spring."[2] Punxsutawney's event is the most famous of many Groundhog Day festivals held in the United States and Canada. The event formally began in 1887, although its roots go back even further.[3]

The event is based upon a communal light-hearted suspension of disbelief which extends to the assertion that the same groundhog has been making predictions since the 19th century.

The event is organized by the "Inner Circle" – recognizable by their top hats and tuxedos – who ostensibly communicate with Phil to receive his prediction. The vice president of the Inner Circle prepares two scrolls in advance of the actual ceremony, one proclaiming six more weeks of winter and one proclaiming an early spring. At daybreak on February 2, Punxsutawney Phil awakens from his burrow on Gobbler's Knob, is helped to the top of the stump by his handlers, and purportedly explains to the president of the Inner Circle, in a language known as "Groundhogese",[3] whether he has seen his shadow. The president of the Inner Circle, the only person able to understand Groundhogese through his possession of an ancient acacia wood cane, then interprets Phil's message, and directs the vice president to read the proper scroll to the crowd gathered on Gobbler's Knob and the masses of "phaithphil phollowers" tuned in to live broadcasts around the world.[citation needed]

The Inner Circle scripts the Groundhog Day ceremonies in advance, with the Inner Circle deciding beforehand whether Phil will see his shadow.[4] The Stormfax Almanac has made note of the weather conditions on each Groundhog Day since 1999; the almanac has recorded 12 incidents in a 20-year span in which the Inner Circle said the groundhog saw his shadow while the sky was cloudy or there was rain or snow coming down, and in one case said the groundhog did not see his shadow despite sunshine.[5] Outside of Groundhog Day, Phil resides with a mate, Phyllis, at the Punxsutawney Memorial Library in a climate-controlled environment. In March 2024, the Inner Circle announced that Phil had sired two babies, the first time in the history of the event that such a siring had happened; the birth surprised the Inner Circle, which had assumed that groundhogs do not breed in captivity. As a result of the births, the family will move permanently to Gobblers Knob. The Inner Circle disowned the babies from ever inheriting their father's position.[6]

Punxsutawney Phil canon

The practices and lore of Punxsutawney Phil's predictions are predicated on a light-hearted suspension of disbelief by those involved. According to the lore, there is only one Phil, and all other groundhogs are impostors.[7] It is claimed that this one groundhog has lived to make weather prognostications since 1886, sustained by drinks of "groundhog punch" or "elixir of life" administered at the annual Groundhog Picnic in the fall.[7] The lifespan of a groundhog in the wild is roughly six years.[8]

According to the Groundhog Club, Phil, after the prediction, speaks to the club president in the language of 'Groundhogese', which supposedly only the current president can understand, and then his prediction is translated and revealed to all.[7]

The Groundhog Day celebration is rooted in Germanic tradition that says that if a hibernating animal casts a shadow on February 2, the Christian celebration of Candlemas, winter and cold weather will last another six weeks. If no shadow is seen, legend says, spring will come early. In Germany, the tradition evolved into a myth that if the sun came out on Candlemas, a hedgehog would cast its shadow, predicting snow all the way into May.[9] When German immigrants settled in Pennsylvania, they transferred the tradition onto local fauna, replacing hedgehogs with groundhogs. Several other towns in the region hold similar Groundhog Day events.

Phil first received his name in 1961. The origins of the name are unclear, but speculation suggests that it may have been indirectly named after Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh.[10]

Reception

Prior to 1993, the Groundhog Day event in Punxsutawney attracted crowds of approximately 2,000. The popularity of the film Groundhog Day brought significantly more attention to the event, with annual crowds rising to 10,000–20,000. A notable exception was 2021, when the event took place without any crowds due to the COVID-19 pandemic.[11][12] Since approximately 2018, the event is streamed online each year.[13][14]

Also given the recent increase in crowd sizes, three sitting governors of Pennsylvania have attended the festivities, all since 2000: Ed Rendell in 2003, Tom Corbett in 2012, and Josh Shapiro in 2023 and 2024.[15]

Phil was named the "Official" State Meteorologist by Governor Shapiro during the 2024 ceremony.[16]

People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals object to the event, claiming that Phil is put under stress. They suggest replacing Phil with a robotic groundhog.[17]

In some cases where Phil's prognostications have been incorrect, organizations have jokingly made legal threats against the groundhog. Such tongue-in-cheek actions have been made by a prosecutor in Ohio,[18][19][20] the sheriff's office of Monroe County, Pennsylvania,[21] and the Merrimack, New Hampshire Police Department.[22]

Miniature replica at MRRV, Carnegie Science Center, Pittsburgh
  • Phil and the town of Punxsutawney were portrayed in the 1993 film Groundhog Day. The actual town used to portray Punxsutawney in the film is Woodstock, Illinois.[23]
  • In Groundhog Day, the 2016 Broadway musical adaptation of the film, Phil is ascribed a more mythical role.
  • In 1995, Phil flew to Chicago for a guest appearance on The Oprah Winfrey Show, which aired on Groundhog Day, February 2, 1995.[24]
  • A 2002 episode of the children's animated series Stanley, titled "Searching for Spring", featured Punxsutawney Phil.
  • Phil was the main attraction in "Groundhog Day", the April 10, 2005 episode of the MTV series Viva La Bam. In the episode, street skater Bam Margera holds a downhill race in honor of Punxsutawney Phil at Bear Creek Mountain Resort in Macungie, Pennsylvania.
  • The Pennsylvania Lottery's mascot is a groundhog named Gus, referred to in commercials as "the second most famous groundhog in Pennsylvania", in deference to Phil.[25] Because the Groundhog Club Inner Circle has trademarked the use of the name "Punxsutawney Phil", no commercial entity may use the name without the permission from the Inner Circle, which does not allow commercialization of the name.

Past predictions

Punxsutawney Phil's predictions[26][27]
1886 1887 1888 1889
1890 1891 1892 1893 1894 1895 1896 1897 1898 1899
1900 1901 1902 1903 1904 1905 1906 1907 1908 1909
1910 1911 1912 1913 1914 1915 1916 1917 1918 1919
1920 1921 1922 1923 1924 1925 1926 1927 1928 1929
1930 1931 1932 1933 1934 1935 1936 1937 1938 1939
1940 1941 1942 1943 1944 1945 1946 1947 1948 1949
1950 1951 1952 1953 1954 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959
1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969
1970 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
  "Six more weeks of winter" (107)
  "Early spring" (20)
  "War clouds have blacked out parts of the shadow." (1)
  No appearance (event canceled) (1)
  No record (10)

Predictive accuracy

The Inner Circle, in keeping with the suspension of disbelief, claims a 100% accuracy rate, and an approximately 80% accuracy rate in recorded predictions. They claim that whenever the prediction is wrong, the person in charge of translating the message must have made a mistake in their interpretation. Impartial estimates place the groundhog's accuracy between 35% and 41%.[28][29][30]

See also

References

  1. ^ a b "Groundhog Day 2020 Guide: Punxsutawney Phil facts, tips for going to Gobbler's Knob and more". pennlive. 2020-01-28. Archived from the original on 2020-02-12. Retrieved 2020-02-12.
  2. ^ "Groundhog.org FAQ". Groundhog.org. Archived from the original on 2012-07-17. Retrieved 2009-02-02.
  3. ^ a b "Groundhog Day: History and Facts". History.com. Archived from the original on 2020-02-06. Retrieved 2020-02-12.
  4. ^ "Punxsutawney Phil, Poor Richard make Groundhog Day predictions". The Evening Sun. Hanover, PA. February 2, 2015. Archived from the original on February 2, 2015. Retrieved February 2, 2015. Despite the German legend, Phil's handlers don't wait to see if he sees his shadow – as he likely would not have on such an overcast day. Instead, the Inner Circle decide on the forecast ahead of time (...)
  5. ^ Stormfax. "Groundhog Day History from Stormfax®". www.stormfax.com. Archived from the original on 2014-11-29. Retrieved 2016-02-18.
  6. ^ "Punxsutawney Phil surprises, starts family with 2 baby groundhogs". ABC27. 2024-03-27. Retrieved 2024-03-28.
  7. ^ a b c "Fun Facts". The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club. Archived from the original on 19 November 2015. Retrieved 3 February 2016.
  8. ^ Marmota monax (Linnaeus); Woodchuck However, Phil has lived around 200 years as of 2024.Archived 2013-07-28 at the Wayback Machine. Pick4.pick.uga.edu. Retrieved on 2014-06-10.
  9. ^ "Groundhog Day, Hedgehogs and Candlemas". www.bellaonline.com. Archived from the original on 2 February 2017. Retrieved 3 February 2017.
  10. ^ "The Curious (and Possibly Murderous) Origins of Punxsutawney Phil's Name". Mental Floss. 2019-02-01. Archived from the original on 2019-02-03. Retrieved 2022-10-01.
  11. ^ "Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow and predicts six more weeks of winter". CNN. 2 February 2021. Archived from the original on 2 February 2021. Retrieved 2 February 2021.
  12. ^ Carlson, Peter (3 February 2004). "His Moment in the Sun". Washington Post. Archived from the original on 18 August 2020. Retrieved 23 June 2020.
  13. ^ "What Time Does the Groundhog Come Out on Groundhog Day?". Travel + Leisure. Archived from the original on 2018-10-06. Retrieved 2020-06-23.
  14. ^ Groundhog Day 2018: Punxsutawney Phil's winter prediction live from Gobbler's Knob | ABC News, 2 February 2018, archived from the original on 2023-09-06, retrieved 2023-09-06
  15. ^ Deto, Ryan (2023-02-01). "Shapiro to become just 3rd sitting governor to attend Pa.'s Groundhog Day celebration". TribLIVE.com. Archived from the original on 2023-09-06. Retrieved 2023-09-06.
  16. ^ Shannon, Bill (2024-02-02). "Punxsutawney Phil declared Pennsylvania's official meteorologist". abc27.com. Archived from the original on 2024-02-02. Retrieved 2024-02-02.
  17. ^ "No more Punxsutawney Phil? It's 'long overdue' for an AI groundhog instead, PETA says". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Archived from the original on 2022-05-25. Retrieved 2022-10-01.
  18. ^ "Prosecutor indicts groundhog for misrepresentation of early spring". WHIO-TV. March 21, 2013. Archived from the original on March 24, 2013. Retrieved March 21, 2013.
  19. ^ "Prediction groundhog faces 'death'". 3 News NZ. March 25, 2013. Archived from the original on December 26, 2013. Retrieved March 24, 2013.
  20. ^ Mandak, Joe (March 25, 2013). "Pa. groundhog's handler taking blame for forecast". The Seattle Times. Associated Press. Archived from the original on 28 December 2013. Retrieved 26 December 2013.
  21. ^ Samenow, Jason (28 March 2018). "There is a Warrant Out for the Punxsutawney Phil's Arrest. Give the Groundhog a Break". Washington Post. Archived from the original on 12 February 2020. Retrieved 12 February 2020.
  22. ^ Durando, Jessica. "Police want to take Punxsutawney Phil into custody". USA TODAY. Archived from the original on 2022-02-08. Retrieved 2022-10-01.
  23. ^ Wardle, Lisa (2017-01-06). "2 Punxsutawneys: Compare 'Groundhog Day' film locations to the real town". pennlive. Archived from the original on 2020-08-12. Retrieved 2020-03-30.
  24. ^ Pulling, Anne Frances (2001). Around Punxsutawney (Images of America). Arcadia Publishing. p. 128. ISBN 978-0-7385-0530-5.
  25. ^ "Gus the Groundhog is Back by Popular Demand". Pennsylvania Lottery. November 25, 2015. Archived from the original on August 1, 2020. Retrieved August 13, 2020.
  26. ^ "Groundhog Day". Stormfax Weather Almanac. Archived from the original on November 29, 2014. Retrieved February 14, 2016.
  27. ^ Mendoza, Jordan. "Every Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney Phil predicts the future weather. How often is he right?". USA TODAY. Archived from the original on 2023-02-02. Retrieved 2023-02-02.
  28. ^ "Groundhog Forecasters versus the U.S. Temperature Record". NOAA National Climatic Data Center. Archived from the original on February 5, 2013. Retrieved January 31, 2013.
  29. ^ "Groundhog Day Forecasts and Climate History". National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI). 2017-02-01. Archived from the original on 2022-09-30. Retrieved 2022-10-01.
  30. ^ "Phil's Groundhog Day prediction: 6 more weeks of winter". AP NEWS. 2023-02-02. Archived from the original on 2023-02-02. Retrieved 2023-02-02.

Further reading

40°55′49″N 78°57′28″W / 40.9302°N 78.9578°W / 40.9302; -78.9578

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