Government trifecta

From 2017 to 2019 in the United States, the Republican Party held the Senate, House of Representatives, and the presidency.[1] Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, Speaker of the House Paul Ryan, President Donald Trump, and Vice President (President of the Senate) Mike Pence, all Republicans, are pictured.
From 2021 to 2023 in the United States, the Democratic Party held the Senate, House of Representatives, and the presidency. Vice President (President of the Senate) Kamala Harris, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, President Joe Biden, and Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, all Democrats, are pictured. The Democrats controlled the Senate with the tie-breaking vote from the Vice President.

A government trifecta is a political situation in which the same political party controls the executive branch and both chambers of the legislative branch in countries that have a bicameral legislature and an executive that is not fused. The term is primarily used in the United States, where the term originated—being borrowed from horse race betting.[2]

Most countries and all democracies have some degree of separation of powers into separate branches of government, typically consisting of an executive, a legislative, and a judicial branch, but the term government trifecta is primarily applied to countries in which the executive is not elected by the legislature and where the legislature is not sovereign; in parliamentary systems, the executive or part of it is elected by the legislature and must have the support of the majority of Parliament.

Government trifectas are seen as beneficial by some and as undesirable by others. Those in favor argue that government trifectas are efficient and avoid gridlocks. Opponents argue that trifectas discourage policing of those in power by the opposition and that they do not limit spending and the expansion of undesirable laws.[3] Opponents also argue that government trifectas do not tend to lead to compromise since one party can simply implement its goals unopposed. Consequently, the incumbent party may alter the structure of executive agencies to prepare for when it is bound to lose its incumbency.[4] These alterations are performed to secure control over the agencies for when the party is no longer incumbent. Examples of these include political appointments that extend beyond the political cycle, contract or grant awards, and debt issuances.

The situation is common in developing nations but rare in developed ones. Early in the 20th century, for example, government trifectas were common in the United States, but they have become increasingly rare since the 1970s. State government trifectas have become more common since the 2010s, going from 24 states having trifectas to 36 in 2020.

Government trifectas are contrasted by divided governments—a situation in which one party controls the executive branch while another party controls one or both houses of the legislative branch.

In systems that use fusion of powers and where the executive has to rely on the confidence of the legislature, the executive is almost always composed of members of the party or coalition that controls the lower house of the legislature, essentially creating a situation where there always is a government trifecta, assuming the upper chamber is in the same party's control.[a] If there is no government trifecta a legislature may pass a motion of no confidence to force the government to resign, thereby giving the legislature the power to create a government trifecta and making government trifectas not as significant compared to systems that use separation of powers, since one has to wait for a new election to establish or abolish a government trifecta.

United States

Control of the Senate, Presidency, and House since 1855: any column where all three sections show the same color is a trifecta.

The term is primarily used in the United States, where the federal government level consists of the president and the Congress with its two chambers, the House and the Senate.

Because of the coattail effect, most newly elected presidents have a majority with them in both chambers of Congress. The six-year itch conversely means that the last two years of a two-term president rarely have trifectas. The most recent trifecta will be held by the Republican Party from January 20, 2025. The longest trifectas were two stints of 14 years, one for each major party: 1932–1946 for the Democrats, coinciding with Franklin D. Roosevelt's three terms plus Harry S. Truman's first two years, and 1897–1911 for the Republicans, spanning the presidencies of William McKinley, Theodore Roosevelt and William Howard Taft.

State government trifectas

US state governments (governor and legislature) by party control
  Democratic control
  Republican control
  Split control

At the state level, a trifecta means that one party holds the governorship and both legislative houses. The sole exception is in Nebraska, where there is a unicameral legislature.

Year Total Dem Rep Spread
2024 40 17 23 R+6
2023 39 17 22 R+5
2022 37 14 23 R+9
2021 38 15 23 R+8
2020 36 15 21 R+6
2019 36 14 22 R+8
2018 33 7 26 R+19
2017 31 5 26 R+21
2016 31 6 25 R+19
2015 31 7 24 R+17
2014 30 7 23 R+16
2013 36 12 24 R+12
2012 34 11 23 R+12
2011 32 11 21 R+10
2010 24 16 8 D+8
2009 26 17 9 D+8
2008 23 14 9 D+5
2007 24 15 9 D+6
2006 20 8 12 R+4
2005 20 8 12 R+4
2004 21 9 12 R+3
2003 21 9 12 R+3
2002 20 9 11 R+2
2001 21 9 13 R+4
2000 24 8 15 R+7
1999 23 9 14 R+5
1998 19 6 13 R+7
1997 18 6 12 R+6
1996 21 7 14 R+7
1995 23 8 15 R+7
1994 20 16 4 D+12
1993 21 18 3 D+15
1992 18 15 3 D+12

Sources:[5][6]

A visual representation of US state government trifectas over time:

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Although there is not one single party that controls the House of Lords, there always is a de facto government trifecta in the United Kingdom due to the fact that the monarch can appoint whoever they please as a Lord or Baroness, which is almost always done on the advice of the prime minister, thereby giving the prime minister the ability to take control of the House of Lords. The House of Commons can also pass some legislation without the approval of the Lords by using the Parliament Acts 1911 and 1949.

References

  1. ^ "Party Government Since 1857". US House of Representatives: History, Art & Archives. Retrieved 13 March 2024.
  2. ^ Hounshell, Blake (12 November 2022). "In the States, Democrats All but Ran the Table". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 19 March 2024.
  3. ^ "Would Divided Government Be Better?". Cato Institute. Archived from the original on 30 June 2011. Retrieved 20 September 2015.
  4. ^ Moe, Terry (1989). "The Politics of Bureaucratic Structure". Retrieved 4 May 2016.
  5. ^ "Ballotpedia: Who Runs The States".
  6. ^ "2018 election analysis: State government trifectas". Ballotpedia. Retrieved 7 November 2018.

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