Eliminating fossil fuel subsidies would reduce the health risks of air pollution,[1] and would greatly reduce global carbon emissions thus helping to limit climate change.[2] As of 2021[update], policy researchers estimate that substantially more money is spent on fossil fuel subsidies than on environmentally harmful agricultural subsidies or environmentally harmful water subsidies.[3] The International Energy Agency says: "High fossil fuel prices hit the poor hardest, but subsidies are rarely well-targeted to protect vulnerable groups and tend to benefit better-off segments of the population."[4]
Despite the G20 countries having pledged to phase-out inefficient fossil fuel subsidies,[5] as of 2023[update] they continue because of voter demand,[6][7] or for energy security.[8] Global fossil fuel consumption subsidies in 2022 have been estimated at one trillion dollars;[4] although they vary each year depending on oil prices, they are consistently hundreds of billions of dollars.[9]
Definition
Fossil fuel subsidies have been described as "any government action that lowers the cost of fossil fuel energy production, raises the price received by energy producers, or lowers the price paid by energy consumers."[10] Including negative externalities such as health costs results in a much larger total.[11] Thus by the IMF definition they are far larger than by the OECD and International Energy Agency (IEA) definitions.[12]
Subsidies for electricity and heat may be taken into account, depending on the share produced by fossil fuels.[12] Sometimes there are disputes about what definition to use: for example the UK government said in 2021 that it uses the IEA definition and does not subsidize fossil fuels,[13] but others said the same year that under the OECD definition it does.[14][15]
Measurement
Subsidies may be estimated by adding up direct subsidies from government, comparing prices in a country to world market prices, and sometimes attempting to include the cost of damage to human health and the climate.[16] The International Energy Agency estimates 2022 consumption subsidies at 1 trillion dollars, more than ever before.[17]
However the IMF estimates 2020 total subsidies at $5.9 trillion or 6.8 percent of GDP: this figure is much larger because over 90% of it is undercharging for environmental costs and foregone consumption taxes (implicit subsidies).[18] Setting fossil fuel prices that reflect their true cost would cut global CO2 emissions by 10% by 2030, according to the IPCC in 2023.[19]
Unfortunately governments worldwide have increased their subsidies to 7 trillion in 2022 due to high energy prices according to the IMF.[20]
Subsidies on consumption reduce the price of energy for end consumers, for example the cost of gasoline for car drivers in Iran. This may win votes at elections and some people in government say it helps poorer citizens.
The consensus among economists is that the rich get most absolute benefit from fossil fuel subsidies,[22] for example the poorest people do not usually own cars. But removing the subsidies may hit poor people via indirect price increases such as food prices, so they get a lot of benefit relative to their total income.[22] Producers, such as oil companies, say that increasing taxes on them would cause unemployment and reduce national energy security.[23]
Health effects
Subsidies are estimated to cause hundreds of thousands of deaths from air pollution each year.[24]
Many economists recommend replacing consumption subsidies with direct payments targeted at poor people or households.[22][28][29][30] The best way to use the money saved will likely require country specific studies.[31] However phase-out is politically difficult.[7]
The International Energy Agency estimates that governments subsidised consumption of fossil fuels by US $1 trillion in 2022.[4] At their meeting in September 2009 the G-20 countries committed to "rationalize and phase out over the medium term inefficient fossil fuel subsidies that encourage wasteful consumption".[34] Many say that all fossil fuel subsidies are inefficient.[35]
The 2010s saw many other countries reducing energy subsidies, for instance in July 2014 Ghana abolished all diesel and gasoline subsidies, whilst in the same month Egypt raised diesel prices 63% as part of a raft of reforms intended to remove subsidies within 5 years.[36]
In Sept, 2021, the IMF produced a working paper with estimates for the subsidies caused by the gap between the efficient price of fossil fuels and user prices.[37][38] "Underpricing for local air pollution costs is the largest contributor to global fossil fuel subsidies, accounting for 42 percent, followed by global warming costs (29 percent), other local externalities such as congestion and road accidents (15 percent), explicit subsidies (8 percent) and foregone consumption tax revenue (6 percent)."[38] Globally, fossil fuel subsidies were $5.9 trillion which amounts to 6.8% of GDP in 2020 and are expected to rise to 7.4% in 2025.[39]
The table below shows excerpts from a 2021 IMF study for 20 countries with biggest subsidies. It also shows the biggest component of explicit subsidies, electricity costs, and of implicit subsidies, coal. See these references for complete data:[40][38][37] (Units are billions of 2021 US dollars.)
Fossil fuel subsidies - top 20 countries US$ billions[37][38][40]
2020
Explicit Subsidies
Implicit Subsidies
Total
Electricity
Total
Coal
Total
China
13.69
15.73
1,391.78
2,187.50
2,203.23
United States
0.00
16.06
121.45
646.00
662.05
Russia
25.14
77.36
195.26
445.26
522.62
India
8.71
16.18
162.72
230.89
247.07
Japan
2.74
4.75
57.69
164.80
169.55
Saudi Arabia
8.72
53.75
0.00
104.36
158.11
Iran
26.51
41.72
4.59
111.05
152.77
Indonesia
5.49
11.96
32.85
115.13
127.09
Turkey
0.24
4.11
52.59
112.61
116.72
Egypt
7.32
9.69
1.89
95.38
105.07
Germany
0.00
3.43
25.50
68.32
71.75
Korea, South
0.00
0.58
28.93
68.39
68.98
Canada
2.43
10.34
3.04
53.69
64.03
South Africa
5.62
5.72
30.41
44.84
50.56
Kazakhstan
4.57
9.93
19.11
37.05
46.98
Taiwan
1.67
2.58
25.42
43.55
46.13
Australia
2.14
5.57
14.85
38.92
44.49
Ukraine
4.57
7.76
28.76
35.87
43.63
Malaysia
0.90
3.52
5.52
39.50
43.02
Brazil
0.00
5.80
4.60
37.17
42.97
World total
189.53
454.79
2,362.26
5,402.57
5,857.36
Canada
This section needs to be updated. The reason given is: did they eliminate subsidies by 2023 - if not why not?. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information.(February 2023)
The Canadian federal government offers subsidies for fossil fuel exploration and production and Export Development Canada regularly provides financing to oil and gas companies. A 2018 report from the Overseas Development Institute, a UK-based think tank, found that Canada spent a greater proportion of its GDP on fiscal support to oil and gas production in 2015 and 2016 than any other G7 country.[41]
In 2018, in response to low Canadian oil prices, the federal government announced $1.6 billion in financial support for the oil and gas sector: $1 billion in loans to oil and gas exporters from Export Development Canada, $500 million in financing for "higher risk" oil and gas companies from the Business Development Bank of Canada, $50 million through Natural Resources Canada’s Clean Growth Program, and $100 million through Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada’s Strategic Innovation Fund. Minister of Natural Resources Amarjeet Sohi said that this financing is "not a subsidy for fossil fuels", adding that "These are commercial loans, made available on commercial terms. We have committed to phasing out inefficient fossil fuel subsidies by 2025, and we stand by that commitment".[42] Canada has committed to phase out fossil fuel subsidies by 2023.[43]
Canadian provincial governments also offer subsidies for the consumption of fossil fuels. For example, Saskatchewan offers a fuel tax exemption for farmers and a sales tax exemption for natural gas used for heating.[44]
A 2018 report from the Overseas Development Institute was critical of Canada's reporting and transparency practices around its fossil fuel subsidies. Canada does not publish specific reports on its fiscal support for fossil fuels, and when Canada’s Office of the Auditor-General attempted an audit of Canadian fossil fuel subsidies in 2017, they found much of the data they needed was not provided by Finance Canada. Export Development Canada reports on their transactions related to fossil fuel projects, but do not provide data on exact amounts or the stage of project development.[45]
China
This section needs expansion. You can help by adding to it. (February 2023)
This section needs expansion. You can help by adding to it. (February 2023)
In financial year 2021 fossil fuel subsidies have been estimated at 9 times renewable energy subsidies: with INR 55,250 crore for oil and gas and INR 12,976 crore for coal.[49]
Russia holds the world’s largest natural gas reserves (27% of total), the second-largest coal reserves, and the eighth-largest oil reserves.[54] Russia is the world's third-largest energy subsidizer as of 2015.[55] The country subsidizes electricity and natural gas as well as oil extraction. Approximately 60% of the subsidies go to natural gas, with the remainder spent on electricity (including under-pricing of gas delivered to power stations).[54] For oil extraction the government gives tax exemptions and duty reductions amounting to about 22 billion dollars a year. Some of the tax exemptions and duty reductions also apply to natural gas extraction, though the majority is allocated for oil.[56] The large subsidies of Russia are costly and it is recommended in order to help the economy that Russia lowers its domestic subsidies.[57] However, the potential elimination of energy subsidies in Russia carries the risk of social unrest that makes Russian authorities reluctant to remove them.[58]
Saudi Arabia
Most energy subsidies in Saudi Arabia are implicit in nature. This is due to the fact domestic oil prices are generally below global market prices but above domestic production costs, leading to forgone revenue but not direct subsidy costs. Contrary to the estimates above, a recent paper posits that the incremental electricity subsidy in Saudi Arabia has been eliminated as a result of the 2018 domestic energy price reforms. [59][page needed]
In the 21st century, Turkey's fossil fuel subsidies are around 0.2% of GDP,[60][61]: 29 including at least US$14 billion (US$169 per person) between January 2020 and September 2021.[62] If unpaid damages (such as health damage from air pollution) are included road fuel subsidy is estimated at over 400 dollars per person per year and for all fossil fuels over one thousand dollars.[63] Data on finance for fossil fuels by state-owned banks and export credit agencies is not public.[61]: 32 The energy minister Fatih Dönmez supports coal[64][65] and most energy subsidies are for coal,[66] which the OECD has strongly criticised.[67] Capacity mechanism payments to coal-fired power stations in Turkey in 2019 totalled ₺720 million (US$130 million) compared to ₺542 million (US$96 million) to gas-fired power stations in Turkey.[68] In 2022 these payments totalled over US$200 million.[69] As of 2020[update], the tax per unit energy on gasoline was higher than diesel,[70] despite diesel cars on average emitting more lung damaging NOx (nitrogen oxide).[71]
Venezuela
2020 subsidy has been estimated at 7% of GDP.[72] In 2021 the subsidized and rationed gasoline price was around 25 US cents a litre,[73][74] whereas the unsubsidized price was about 50 cents a litre.[75]
^ abParry, Ian; Black, Simon; Vernon, Nate. "International Monetary Fund; Climate Change; Fossil Fuel Subsidies". International Monetary Fund. Scroll down at left sidebar, see Data and Diagnostic Tools; see "Fossil Fuel Subsidies by Country and Fuel Database (2021)" (links to Excel spreadsheet). Retrieved 22 October 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: location (link)