Brandon East

Brandon East
Manitoba electoral district
Location in Brandon
Provincial electoral district
LegislatureLegislative Assembly of Manitoba
MLA
 
 		 
Glen Simard
New Democratic
District created1968
First contested1969
Last contested2023
Demographics
Population (2016)23,045
Electors (2019)14,292
Area (km²)43
Pop. density (per km²)535.9
Census subdivision(s)Brandon

Brandon East (French: Brandon-Est) is a provincial electoral division in the province of Manitoba, Canada. It encompasses the southeastern part of the City of Brandon.

Historical riding

The original riding of Brandon East existed from 1886 to 1888, when the City and riding of Brandon was divided into two electoral districts for the first time. The city was re-established as a single riding in 1888.

Current riding

The modern riding of Brandon East was created in 1968, when the City of Brandon was again divided into two separate ridings. It has formally existed since the provincial election of 1969.

The riding borders on Brandon West to the west, and by Spruce Woods in all other directions. Brandon itself is the second-largest city in Manitoba (after Winnipeg), and is in the southwestern region of the province.

Brandon East's population in 1996 was 19,850. In 1999, the average family income was $40,233, and the unemployment rate was 8.60%. The service sector accounts for 19% of the riding's industry, followed by retail trade at 15% and health and social services at 14%. Eleven per cent of the riding's residents are aboriginal.

Brandon East had been a safe seat for the New Democratic Party since its re-creation. This changed at the 2016 election, in which Progressive Conservative candidate Len Isleifson defeated the NDP incumbent Drew Caldwell.

At the 2015 Canadian federal election, according to data from Elections Canada, Brandon East voted heavily Liberal.[1] A provincial riding opinion poll in December 2015 showed Brandon East to be a marginal seat between the Conservative and Liberal parties, with the NDP trailing a poor third.[2]

In the 2018 redistribution, the part of the riding north of the Assiniboine River was moved to Spruce Woods.

List of provincial representatives

Assembly Years Member Party
Riding created from Brandon
6th 1886–1888 James A. Smart Liberal
Riding dissolved into Brandon City
Riding re-created from Brandon
29th 1969–1973 Len Evans New Democratic
30th 1973–1977
31st 1977–1981
32nd 1981–1986
33rd 1986–1988
34th 1988–1990
35th 1990–1995
36th 1995–1999
37th 1999–2003 Drew Caldwell
38th 2003–2007
39th 2007–2011
40th 2011–2016
41st 2016–2019 Len Isleifson Progressive Conservative
42nd 2019–2023
43rd 2023–present Glen Simard New Democratic

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Last Date of Polling Link NDP PC Liberal Green Other
Probe Research Inc December 19, 2015 PDF 18 41 38 3
Probe Research Inc January, 2015 PDF 28 40 26 6

Election results

2023

2023 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Glen Simard 3,758 55.64 +19.30 $26,633.93
Progressive Conservative Len Isleifson 2,691 39.84 -11.16 $35,834.84
Liberal Trenton Zazalak 305 4.52 -8.15 $0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 6,754 99.48 – $59,632.00
Total rejected and declined ballots 35 0.52 –
Turnout 6,789 46.99 +1.30
Eligible voters 14,449
New Democratic gain from Progressive Conservative Swing +15.23
Source(s)
Source: Elections Manitoba[3][4][5]

2019

2019 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Progressive Conservative Len Isleifson 3,294 51.00 -0.5 $36,318.38
New Democratic Lonnie Patterson 2,347 36.34 -0.1 $18,637.37
Liberal Kim Longstreet 818 12.66 +0.6 $3,151.46
Total valid votes 6,459 98.93 –
Rejected 70 1.07
Turnout 6,529 45.68
Eligible voters 14,292
Progressive Conservative hold Swing -0.2
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2019). Statement of Votes for the 42nd Provincial General Election, September 10, 2019 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.
"Candidate Election Returns". Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved March 2, 2020.

2016

2016 provincial election redistributed results[6]
Party %
  Progressive Conservative 51.5
  New Democratic 36.4
  Liberal 12.1


2016 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Progressive Conservative Len Isleifson 3,669 52.17 13.62 $36,772.89
New Democratic Drew Caldwell 2,534 36.03 -18.92 $12,132.70
Liberal Vanessa Hamilton 830 11.80 7.82 $2,810.27
Total valid votes 7,033 – –
Rejected 117 –
Eligible voters / turnout 13,120 54.50 1.38
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2016). Statement of Votes for the 41st Provincial General Election, April 19, 2016 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.
"Election Returns: 41st General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2016. Retrieved September 10, 2018.

2011

2011 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Drew Caldwell 3,864 54.95 1.00 $14,503.88
Progressive Conservative Mike Waddell 2,711 38.55 0.46 $26,300.48
Liberal Shaun Cameron 280 3.98 -3.97 $1,479.21
Green Vanda Fleury 177 2.52 – $0.00
Total valid votes 7,032 – –
Rejected 35 –
Eligible voters / turnout 13,305 53.12 -5.60
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2011). Statement of Votes for the 40th Provincial General Election, October 4, 2011 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.
"Election Returns: 40th General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2011. Retrieved September 12, 2018.

2007

2007 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Drew Caldwell 3,760 53.95 -8.09 $19,216.70
Progressive Conservative Mike Waddell 2,655 38.10 5.46 $26,503.06
Liberal Cheryl Burke 554 7.95 3.56 $5,462.24
Total valid votes 6,969 – –
Rejected 31 –
Eligible voters / turnout 11,921 58.72 6.06
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2007). Statement of Votes for the 39th Provincial General Election, May 22, 2007 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

2003

2003 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Drew Caldwell 3,870 62.04 0.76 $14,549.00
Progressive Conservative Greg Dinsdale 2,036 32.64 6.30 $13,316.52
Liberal Scott Brigden 274 4.39 -1.34 $1,771.36
Communist Lisa Gallagher 58 0.93 – $436.91
Total valid votes 6,238 – –
Rejected 26 –
Eligible voters / turnout 11,895 52.66 -11.69
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (2003). Statement of Votes for the 38th Provincial General Election, June 3, 2003 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1999

1999 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
New Democratic Drew Caldwell 4,840 61.28 7.50 $18,137.00
Progressive Conservative Marty Snelling 2,080 26.34 -5.58 $25,283.41
Independent Don Jessiman 525 6.65 – $1,040.69
Liberal Peter Logan 453 5.74 -8.57 $4,017.07
Total valid votes 7,898 – –
Rejected 57 –
Eligible voters / turnout 12,362 64.35 1.50
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1995

1995 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
New Democratic Leonard Evans 4,395 53.78 0.27
Progressive Conservative Greg Dinsdale 2,608 31.91 -4.24
Liberal Elizabeth "Liz" Roberts 1,169 14.30 3.97
Total valid votes 8,172 – –
Rejected 22 –
Eligible voters / Turnout 13,037 62.85 -4.67
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1990

1990 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
New Democratic Leonard Evans 4,760 53.51 13.78
Progressive Conservative Ron Arnst 3,216 36.16 3.81
Liberal Brenda Avionitis 919 10.33 -15.24
Total valid votes 8,895 – –
Rejected 38 –
Eligible voters / Turnout 13,230 67.52 -7.85
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1988

1988 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
New Democratic Leonard Evans 3,512 39.73 -13.14
Progressive Conservative Jim Armstrong 2,859 32.35 -8.00
Liberal Lois Fjeldsted 2,260 25.57 18.79
Independent Garth Shurvell 208 2.35 –
Total valid votes 8,839 – –
Rejected 16 –
Eligible voters / Turnout 11,749 75.37 8.35
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1986

1986 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
New Democratic Leonard Evans 4,173 52.88 -8.28
Progressive Conservative Jim Armstrong 3,184 40.34 7.84
Liberal Eileen May McFadden 535 6.78 0.44
Total valid votes 7,892 – –
Rejected 20 –
Eligible voters / Turnout 11,806 67.02 -3.42
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1981

1981 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
New Democratic Leonard Evans 4,941 61.16 8.25
Progressive Conservative Garry Nowazek 2,626 32.50 -7.58
Liberal Margaret Workman 512 6.34 -0.66
Total valid votes 8,079 – –
Rejected 40 –
Eligible voters / Turnout 11,527 70.43 -1.82
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1977

1977 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
New Democratic Leonard Evans 4,217 52.91 1.17
Progressive Conservative James Thornborough 3,195 40.09 3.54
Liberal James Manishen 558 7.00 -3.73
Total valid votes 7,970 – –
Rejected 16 –
Eligible voters / Turnout 11,052 72.26 -0.37
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1973

1973 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
New Democratic Leonard Evans 4,123 51.74 2.72
Progressive Conservative Kenneth John Burgess 2,912 36.55 4.86
Liberal Terence "Terry" Penton 855 10.73 -8.56
Social Credit John William Gross 78 0.98 –
Total valid votes 7,968 – –
Rejected 48 –
Eligible voters / Turnout 11,037 72.63 10.81
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1969

1969 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
New Democratic Leonard Evans 3,035 49.02 –
Progressive Conservative Emily Lyons 1,962 31.69 –
Liberal Don Martin 1,194 19.29 –
Total valid votes 6,191 – –
Rejected 34 –
Eligible voters / Turnout 10,069 61.82 –
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1888 by-election

Manitoba provincial by-election, February 9, 1888
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal James A. Smart 0.00 –
Total valid votes – –
Rejected N/A –
Eligible voters / Turnout N/A – –
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

1886

1886 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes %
Liberal James A. Smart 580 52.68
Conservative George Winters 521 47.32
Total valid votes 1,101 –
Rejected N/A –
Eligible voters / Turnout 1,884 58.44
Source(s)
Source: Manitoba. Chief Electoral Officer (1999). Statement of Votes for the 37th Provincial General Election, September 21, 1999 (PDF) (Report). Winnipeg: Elections Manitoba.

References

  1. ^ CBC "2015 federal election: How did your Manitoba neighbours vote?" 2 March 2016
  2. ^ Probe Research, December 2015
  3. ^ "Summary of Votes Received" (PDF). Elections Manitoba. Retrieved May 4, 2024.
  4. ^ "CANDIDATE ELECTION RETURNS GENERAL ELECTION 2023". Elections Manitoba. Retrieved July 24, 2024.
  5. ^ "2023 GENERAL ELECTION CANDIDATE AND REGISTERED PARTY ELECTION EXPENSE LIMITS - FINAL EXPENSE LIMIT" (PDF). Elections Manitoba. Retrieved May 4, 2024.
  6. ^ Marcoux, Jacques (August 27, 2019). "New Manitoba election boundaries give upper hand to Progressive Conservatives, CBC News analysis finds". CBC. Retrieved August 29, 2023.

49°50′06″N 99°53′38″W / 49.835°N 99.894°W / 49.835; -99.894

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