38th Federal Congress of the PSOE
38th Federal Congress of the PSOE Opinion polls Turnout 955 (99.9%) (secretary) 899 (94.0%) (executive)
The 38th Federal Congress of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party was held in Seville from 3 to 5 February 2012, to renovate the governing bodies of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) and establish the party's main lines of action and strategy for the next leadership term. The congress was called after the PSOE suffered its worst defeat since the Spanish transition to democracy in the general election held on 20 November 2011 . Previous secretary-general José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero had announced in April the same year he would not stand for election to a third term as Prime Minister of Spain , announcing his intention to step down as party leader after a successor had been elected.[ 1]
The result was a close race between the two candidates to the party leadership: Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba , the party's candidate for the 2011 general election and former first deputy prime minister and interior minister , and former defence minister Carme Chacón . The ballot saw Rubalcaba win by a 51.0% of the delegate vote (487 votes) to the 48.7% won by Carme Chacón (465 votes), with 2 blank and 1 invalid ballots.[ 2] [ 3]
The key dates are listed below (all times are CET ):[ 4]
26 November: Official announcement of the congress.
8 January: Federal committee endorsement submission.
9–15 January: Election of congress delegates.
3–5 February: Federal congress.
Candidates
Declined
The individuals in this section were the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy, but publicly denied or recanted interest in running:
Endorsements
Candidates seeking to run were required to collect the endorsements of at least 10% of federal committee members and of between 20% and 30% of congress delegates.[ 7] [ 17] [ 18]
Summary of candidate endorsement results
Candidate
Federal Committee
Delegates
Count
% T
% V
Count
% T
% V
Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba
58
23.20
66.67
286
29.92
49.91
Carme Chacón
29
11.60
33.33
287
30.02
50.09
Luis Ángel Hierro Recio
Eliminated (below 10%)
—
Total
87
573
Valid endorsements
87
34.80
573
59.94
Not endorsing
163
65.20
383
40.06
Total members
250
956
Sources[ 3] [ 19] [ 20]
Opinion polls
Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the candidate's colour. In the instance of a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are shaded. Polls show data gathered among PSOE voters/supporters as well as Spanish voters as a whole, but not among delegates, who were the ones ultimately entitled to vote in the congress election.
PSOE voters
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Other /None
?
Lead
Zapatero (Inc. )
Chacón
Rubalcaba
Bono
López Aguilar
Madina
Blanco
Fernández de la Vega
González
Congress election
4 Feb 2012
—[ a]
–
48.7
51.0
–
–
–
–
–
–
0.2
—
2.3
Metroscopia/El País[ p 1]
4–5 Jan 2012
?
–
21.0
44.0
–
–
–
–
–
–
22.0
13.0
23.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ p 2]
27–29 Dec 2011
?
–
38.2
50.4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
11.4
12.2
–
33.7
35.3
11.0
4.9
3.4
–
–
–
3.3
8.4
1.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ p 3] [ p 4]
27 Nov 2011
?
–
27.4
43.1
8.1
–
–
–
–
–
21.4
15.7
Metroscopia/El País[ p 5]
30–31 Mar 2011
1,004
10.0
15.0
52.0
14.0
–
–
–
–
–
5.0
4.0
37.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ p 6]
7–9 Mar 2011
1,000
12.9
–
44.8
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
31.9
Opina/Cadena SER[ p 7]
12–13 Jan 2011
1,000
26.7
11.8
27.4
12.6
–
–
8.3
–
–
–
13.0
0.7
Opina/Cadena SER[ p 8]
28–29 Oct 2010
1,000
36.0
12.4
20.5
13.0
–
–
9.7
–
–
–
8.4
15.5
Metroscopia/El País[ p 9] [ p 10]
2 Jun 2010
506
35.0
–
8.0
4.0
–
–
3.0
5.0
2.0
7.0
38.0
27.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia[ p 11]
28–29 Dec 2009
807
–
8.1
11.0
8.8
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
2.2
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ p 12]
23–29 Dec 2009
1,000
–
–
19.8
15.5
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
4.3
Spanish voters
Polling firm/Commissioner
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Other /None
?
Lead
Zapatero (Inc. )
Chacón
Rubalcaba
Bono
López Aguilar
Madina
Blanco
López
Solana
Fernández de la Vega
González
Jiménez
Metroscopia/El País[ p 1]
4–5 Jan 2012
1,000
–
18.0
26.0
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
36.0
20.0
8.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ p 2]
27–29 Dec 2011
800
–
37.2
38.5
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
24.3
1.3
–
22.4
26.0
14.4
4.1
3.2
–
–
–
–
–
–
3.9
26.0
3.6
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ p 3] [ p 4]
27 Nov 2011
?
–
19.5
21.2
15.8
2.0
2.4
–
2.5
–
–
–
–
36.6
1.7
Ikerfel/Vocento[ p 13]
4–22 Apr 2011
45,635
–
18.8
34.9
11.3
–
–
2.8
–
–
–
–
–
3.1
29.1
16.1
NC Report/La Razón[ p 14]
3 Apr 2011
?
–
7.3
25.2
21.2
–
–
–
–
5.2
–
–
–
46.3
4.0
TNS Demoscopia/Antena 3[ p 15]
2 Apr 2011
?
–
10.4
40.5
2.3
–
–
1.1
–
–
–
–
–
3.3
42.4
30.1
Invymark/laSexta[ p 16] [ p 17]
2 Apr 2011
?
–
24.8
62.1
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
13.1
37.3
–
11.3
44.0
5.9
–
–
1.5
–
–
–
–
–
16.3
7.5
32.7
Metroscopia/El País[ p 5]
30–31 Mar 2011
1,004
8.0
17.0
42.0
16.0
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
10.0
7.0
25.0
NC Report/La Razón[ p 18]
14 Mar 2011
?
–
5.7
23.5
20.3
–
–
–
–
6.4
–
–
–
44.1
3.2
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ p 6]
7–9 Mar 2011
1,000
7.3
10.1
26.9
12.6
–
–
–
–
11.9
–
–
–
–
–
14.3
Opina/Cadena SER[ p 7]
12–13 Jan 2011
1,000
16.7
14.6
30.3
18.0
–
–
8.8
–
–
–
–
–
–
11.5
12.3
NC Report/La Razón[ p 19] [ p 20]
22–24 Dec 2010
1,000
–
12.2
32.7
29.5
–
–
9.8
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
3.2
Opina/Cadena SER[ p 8]
28–29 Oct 2010
1,000
21.3
13.7
24.5
19.7
–
–
10.3
–
–
–
–
–
–
10.4
3.2
NC Report/La Razón[ p 21]
17 Oct 2010
?
–
15.9
24.5
27.9
–
–
16.2
6.5
9.0
–
–
–
–
–
3.4
Opina/Cadena SER[ p 22]
7–8 Oct 2010
1,000
22.1
14.2
20.0
20.6
–
–
11.1
–
–
–
–
–
–
12.0
1.5
Metroscopia/El País[ p 9] [ p 10]
2 Jun 2010
506
21.0
–
6.0
3.0
–
–
2.0
–
–
2.0
1.0
–
9.0
56.0
15.0
Noxa/La Vanguardia[ p 11]
28–29 Dec 2009
807
–
5.0
7.0
11.0
–
–
3.0
–
–
4.0
–
3.0
29.0
38.0
4.0
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[ p 12]
23–29 Dec 2009
1,000
–
6.7
15.5
17.9
–
–
3.2
–
–
9.2
–
–
–
–
2.4
Delegate estimations
Source
Fieldwork date
Sample size
Delegates
Percentage
Other /None /Unknown
Other /None /Unknown
Chacón
Rubalcaba
Chacón
Rubalcaba
Congress election
4 Feb 2012
956
465
487
4
48.6
50.9
0.4
Chacón's campaign[ 21] [ 22]
3 Feb 2012
924[ b]
501
421
2
54.2
45.6
0.2
Rubacaba's campaign[ 21]
3 Feb 2012
924[ b]
413
506
5
44.7
54.8
0.5
Chacón's campaign[ 23]
23 Jan 2012
956
488
360
108
51.0
37.7
11.3
Rubacaba's campaign[ 23] [ 24]
23 Jan 2012
956
390
540
26
40.8
56.5
2.7
Chacón's campaign[ 25]
20 Jan 2012
786[ c]
416
290
80
52.9
36.9
10.2
Rubacaba's campaign[ 25]
20 Jan 2012
698[ c]
290
380
28
41.5
54.4
4.0
Results
Summary of the 4–5 February 2012 congress results
Candidate
Secretary
Executive
Votes
%
Votes
%
Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba
487
51.05
723
81.14
Carme Chacón
465
48.74
Withdrew
Blank ballots
2
0.21
168
18.86
Total
954
891
Valid votes
954
99.90
891
99.11
Invalid votes
1
0.10
8
0.89
Votes cast / turnout
955
99.90
899
94.04
Abstentions
1
0.10
57
5.96
Total delegates
956
956
Sources[ 26] [ 27] [ 28]
Vote by delegates (Secretary)
Rubalcaba
51.05%
Chacón
48.74%
Blank ballots
0.21%
Vote by delegates (Executive)
Rubalcaba
81.14%
Blank ballots
18.86%
Notes
^ PSOE delegates.
^ a b Does not include delegates from Europe, the Americas and the JSE .
^ a b Partial count.
References
Opinion poll sources
Other
^ "Zapatero convoca un congreso ordinario en la primera semana de febrero" . PSOE (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 February 2012 .
^ "Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba elegido Secretario General del PSOE" . PSOE (in Spanish). Retrieved 5 February 2012 .
^ a b "Partido Socialista Obrero Español. Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya, P.Socialista de Euskadi E.E., Partido Socialista Popular, PSOE histórico" . Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 16 March 2023 .
^ "El Comité Federal convoca el 38º Congreso Federal del PSOE" . PSOE (in Spanish). 26 November 2011. Retrieved 24 March 2022 .
^ "Rubalcaba se rodea de caras nuevas en su presentación como candidato" . El País (in Spanish). Madrid. 29 December 2011. Retrieved 2 April 2017 .
^ Viúdez, Juana (7 January 2012). "Chacón pide al PSOE que huya del inmovilismo y de la incoherencia" . El País (in Spanish). Olula del Río. Retrieved 2 April 2017 .
^ a b "Rubalcaba y Chacón logran los avales necesarios del Comité Federal para convertirse en "precandidatos" " (in Spanish). Europa Press. 8 January 2012. Retrieved 2 April 2017 .
^ "Blanco afirma no estar disponible para ser el sucesor de Zapatero" . Diario de Noticias (in Spanish). Pamplona. 16 June 2010. Retrieved 24 March 2022 .
^ "Zapatero ya sabe si se presentará a los comicios de 2012 pero sólo una persona del partido conoce su decisión" . El Correo (in Spanish). Madrid. 21 December 2010. Retrieved 24 March 2022 .
^ Toribio, Beatriz (18 February 2011). "José Blanco, el sucesor en la sombra" . La Información (in Spanish). Retrieved 24 March 2022 .
^ "Bono asegura que Zapatero le propuso sucederle como candidato a la Presidencia" . El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Agencias. 6 June 2011. Retrieved 24 March 2022 .
^ a b Gorriarán, Ramón (26 November 2011). "El PSOE llega fragmentado al comité federal que convocará su 38 Congreso" . Diario Sur (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 24 March 2022 .
^ Garat, Ketty (25 November 2011). "El PSOE se prepara para su primera batalla tras el desastre electoral" . Diario Sur (in Spanish). Retrieved 25 March 2022 .
^ "Trinidad Jiménez, la primera en descartarse como sucesora de Zapatero" . El Progreso de Lugo (in Spanish). 4 April 2011. Retrieved 29 July 2024 .
^ Toribio, Beatriz (2 April 2011). "Zapatero se va: anuncia que no se presentará a la reelección en 2012" . La Información (in Spanish). Retrieved 24 March 2022 .
^ "Javier Solana descarta dedicarse a la "primera fila" de la política a propósito de una hipotética sucesión de Zapatero" (in Spanish). Mérida: Europa Press. 19 February 2010. Retrieved 29 July 2024 .
^ López Alba, Gonzalo (26 November 2011). "El PSOE repetirá el modelo de congreso que aupó a Zapatero" . Público (in Spanish). Retrieved 25 March 2022 .
^ Pascual Bueno, Ernesto M. (2016). Selección de Líderes y Candidatos a la Presidencia del Gobierno (1976-2016). "El jardín secreto del PSOE" (PDF) (PhD) (in Spanish). Barcelona: Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona. p. 149. Retrieved 25 March 2022 .
^ "Rubalcaba y Chacón consiguen los avales para optar a la secretaría general del PSOE" . El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 8 January 2012. Retrieved 8 November 2021 .
^ "PSOE.- Los equipos de Chacón y Rubalcaba entregan el máximo de avales, el 30 por ciento cada uno" (in Spanish). Madrid: Europa Press. 4 February 2012. Retrieved 8 November 2021 .
^ a b "Atribución de delegados del PSOE según los propios candidatos" . El País (in Spanish). 3 February 2012. Retrieved 8 November 2021 .
^ Ríos, Pere; Planelles, Manuel (3 February 2012). "Unidos en la discrepancia" . El País (in Spanish). Seville. Retrieved 8 November 2021 .
^ a b Merino, Juan Carlos (23 January 2012). "La igualdad entre Rubalcaba y Chacón ahonda la división territorial del PSOE" . La Vanguardia (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 November 2021 .
^ "Rubalcaba dice aventajar a Chacón en hasta 150 delegados" . Expansión (in Spanish). EFE. 22 January 2012. Retrieved 8 November 2021 .
^ a b Garea, Fernando (20 January 2012). "La incertidumbre se apodera del PSOE" . El País (in Spanish). Madrid. Retrieved 8 November 2021 .
^ Benito, Roberto; Sánchez, Manuel (4 February 2012). "Rubalcaba, nuevo líder del PSOE por 22 votos" . El Mundo (in Spanish). Seville. Retrieved 8 November 2021 .
^ "La ejecutiva de Rubalcaba recibe el respaldo del 80,4% de los delegados" . El País (in Spanish). Madrid. 5 February 2012. Retrieved 18 March 2022 .
^ "Partido Socialista Obrero Español, Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya, P.Socialista de Euskadi E.E., Partido Socialista Popular, PSOE histórico" . Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 November 2021 .
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