2021 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election

2021 Social Democratic Party leadership election
Social Democratic Party
← 2020 27 November 2021 2022 →
Turnout78.2% Decrease0.8 pp
 
EPP Summit, 22 March 2018 (27083908678) (cropped, Rui Rio).jpg
EPP Congress Bucharest - Day 1 IMG 9438 (53570859707) (cropped).jpg
Candidate Rui Rio Paulo Rangel
Popular vote 18,852 17,106
Percentage 52.4% 47.6%
Leader before election

Rui Rio

 Elected Leader

Rui Rio

The 2021 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election was held on 27 November.[1] If no candidate achieved more than 50% of the votes in the first round, a second round would be held between the two most voted candidates in the first round on 1 December, however, as only two candidates will be on the ballot, a second round will not be necessary. The original date for the first round was 4 December, but the party decided to advance the date by a week. Nearly 47,000 party members, out of more than 85,000 active members, were registered to vote.[2]

One issue identified during the campaign was the rise of the far-right Chega!. Though neither candidate said they would invite the party into government, Rio signalled he would be open to negotiating with them on a case-by-case basis,[3] while Rangel ruled this out, saying he would only negotiate with CDS – People's Party and Liberal Initiative.[4]

Rui Rio defeated Paulo Rangel by a 52.4% to 47.6% margin and was reelected for a 3rd term as party leader.[5] He led the party into the 2022 snap general elections, which he lost, losing 2 seats in the Assembly of the Republic and that resulted in an absolute majority to the Socialist Party.

Candidates

Name Born Experience Announcement date Ref.

Paulo Rangel 		18 February 1968
(age 53)
Vila Nova de Gaia 		Member of the European Parliament (2009–2024)
Leader of the Social Democratic Parliamentary Caucus (2008–2009)
Member of Parliament for Porto (2005–2009) 		15 October 2021 [6]

Rui Rio 		6 August 1957
(age 64)
Porto 		President of the Social Democratic Party (2018–2022)
Leader of the Opposition (2018–2022)
Member of Parliament for Porto (2019–2022)
Mayor of Porto (2001–2013)
Member of Parliament for Porto (1991–2002) 		19 October 2021 [7]

Withdrew

Declined

Opinion polls

All voters

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Others
/Undecided 		Lead
Rui Rio Paulo Rangel
Intercampus 5–11 Nov 2021 612 49.3 34.3 16.3 15
CESOP–UCP 29 Oct–4 Nov 2021 878 43 32 25 11
Aximage 28–31 Oct 2021 803 38 31 31 7

PSD voters

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Others
/Undecided 		Lead
Rui Rio Paulo Rangel
Pitagórica 10–15 Nov 2021 ? 58 27 15 31
CESOP–UCP 29 Oct–4 Nov 2021 ? 48 41 11 7
Aximage 28–31 Oct 2021 ? 54 37 9 17
Hypothetical polling
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Rui Rio Luís Montenegro Miguel Pinto Luz Paulo Rangel Pedro Passos Coelho Miguel Poiares Maduro Jorge Moreira da Silva Pedro Duarte Others
/Undecided 		Lead
Intercampus 14–23 Sep 2021 609 — 15.8 3.0 34.3 27.8 — 5.4 3.6 10.2 6.5
Intercampus 13–20 Aug 2021 612 8.8 10.3 — 17.3 16.5 7.8 — — 39.2 0.8

Results

Summary of the November 2021 PSD leadership election results
Candidate 27 November 2021
Votes %
Rui Rio 18,852 52.43
Paulo Rangel 17,106 47.57
Total 35,958
Valid votes 35,958 98.58
Invalid and blank ballots 518 1.42
Votes cast / turnout 36,476 78.17
Registered voters 46,664
Sources: Official results
Vote share
Rui Rio
 
 52.43%
Paulo Rangel
 
 47.57%

Results by party federation

The following table shows a breakdown of the results of the election by party federation, which are mostly equal to the electoral circles.[17]

Result breakdown of the 2021 Portuguese Social Democratic Party leadership election
Federation Rui Rio Paulo Rangel Invalid

ballots

Votes cast Registered
Votes % Votes %
Algarve 511 53.56 443 46.44 18 972 1,354
Aveiro 2,301 61.16 1,401 37.84 85 3,787 4,575
Baixo Alentejo 109 38.38 175 61.62 1 285 337
Braga 2,615 52.31 2,384 47.69 78 5,077 6,419
Bragança 664 62.11 405 37.89 9 1,078 1,321
Castelo Branco 280 47.22 313 52.78 13 606 820
Coimbra 632 46.13 738 53.87 26 1,396 1,838
Évora 208 52.53 188 47.47 5 401 514
Guarda 417 35.82 747 64.18 9 1,173 1,420
Leiria 705 54.06 599 45.94 14 1,318 1,990
Lisbon: Urban Area 1,703 40.30 2,523 59.70 64 4,290 6,033
Lisbon: Oeste 130 45.61 155 54.39 4 289 385
Portalegre 106 48.62 112 51.38 5 223 285
Porto 3,821 59.32 2,620 40.68 69 6,510 7,930
Santarém 574 54.56 478 45.44 18 1,070 1,403
Setúbal 371 36.05 658 63.95 14 1,043 1,300
Viana do Castelo 616 57.95 447 42.05 15 1,078 1,259
Vila Real 543 37.68 898 62.32 22 1,463 1,814
Viseu 835 54.61 694 45.39 22 1,551 1,882
Azores 485 77.60 140 22.40 11 636 796
Madeira 1,183 57.01 892 42.99 14 2,089 2,797
Europe 36 35.29 66 64.71 2 104 150
Outside of Europe 7 18.92 30 81.08 0 37 42

See also

References

  1. ^ Jornal de Notícias (6 November 2021). "Aprovada proposta de Rangel: diretas do PSD marcadas para dia 27 de novembro". Retrieved 6 November 2021.
  2. ^ Jornal i (19 November 2021). "Mais de 46 mil militantes do PSD vão poder votar nas eleições diretas". Retrieved 21 November 2021.
  3. ^ "Rio prevê eleições antecipadas e recusa governar com o Chega".
  4. ^ "Rangel diz que "não compete" ao PSD aprovar o Orçamento e descarta crise política".
  5. ^ Not´cias ao Minuto (27 November 2021). "Oficial. Rui Rio reeleito presidente do partido com 52,43%". Retrieved 27 November 2021.
  6. ^ Público (15 October 2021). "Rangel anuncia que é candidato à liderança do PSD". Retrieved 15 October 2021.
  7. ^ Rádio Renascença (19 October 2021). "Rui Rio recandidata-se à liderança do PSD". Retrieved 19 October 2021.
  8. ^ Diário de Notícias (22 November 2021). "Nuno Miguel Henriques desiste da corrida à liderança do PSD "a bem do partido e do país"". Retrieved 22 November 2021.
  9. ^ Expresso (27 May 2021). "Passos indisponível para corrida à liderança do PSD". Retrieved 31 August 2021.
  10. ^ Público (13 August 2021). "Rangel e Montenegro aproveitam autárquicas para marcar terreno". Retrieved 31 August 2021.
  11. ^ Diário de Notícias (3 October 2021). "Luís Montenegro: "Não tenciono protagonizar nenhuma candidatura" ao PSD". Retrieved 12 October 2021.
  12. ^ Jornal de Notícias (25 May 2021). "Pinto Luz: Direita está órfã de Passos Coelho e PSD é "clone" do PS". Retrieved 31 August 2021.
  13. ^ TVI24 (27 September 2021). "Miguel Pinto Luz não irá avançar com uma candidatura ao PSD, diz Carlos Carreiras". Retrieved 12 October 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: numeric names: authors list (link)
  14. ^ Jornal i (22 February 2021). "Poiares Maduro. "De pouco nos serve esta estabilidade política"". Retrieved 31 August 2021.
  15. ^ Observador (19 October 2021). "Jorge Moreira da Silva fora da corrida ao PSD". Retrieved 19 October 2021.
  16. ^ Jornal de Notícias (4 October 2021). "Moreira da Silva pode entrar na corrida ao PSD com Rio e Rangel". Retrieved 12 October 2021.
  17. ^ "Resultados | PSD". resultados.psd.pt. Retrieved 2024-09-10.