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2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana
	Zinke: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Juneau: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Tie: 40–50% No votes
U.S. Representative before election; Ryan Zinke; Republican	Elected U.S. Representative ; Ryan Zinke; Republican

The 2016 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the U.S. representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

At the time, Montana's congressional district had a PVI of R+7. Republican Ryan Zinke, who was first elected in 2014, is the incumbent. Zinke was re-elected in 2016.^[1]^[2] He faced no primary opposition. Denise Juneau, who is the Montana State Superintendent of Public Instruction, was the lone Democrat to file for election.^[3]^[4] The primaries were held on June 7.

Republican primary

Candidates

Ryan Zinke, incumbent

Results

Republican primary results^[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Ryan Zinke (incumbent)	144,660	100.0
Total votes			144,660	100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Denise Juneau, State Superintendent of Public Instruction

Results

Democratic primary results^[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Denise Juneau	112,821	100.0
Total votes			112,821	100.0

General election

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ryan Zinke (R)	Denise Juneau (D)	Other	Undecided
Mason-Dixon^[6]	October 10–12, 2016	1,003	± 3.2%	53%	40%	1%^[7]	6%
Montana State University Billings^[8]	October 3–10, 2016	590	± 4.0%	50%	31%	—	19%

Results

Montana's at-large congressional district, 2016^[9]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Ryan Zinke (incumbent)	285,358	56.19%	+0.78%
	Democratic	Denise Juneau	205,919	40.55%	+0.14%
	Libertarian	Rick Breckenridge	16,554	3.26%	−0.92%
Total votes			507,831	100.0%	N/A
	Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Gallatin (largest city: Bozeman)

References

^ "Election 2016 Results: Bullock Re-elected Governor, Zinke Cruises". Flathead Beacon. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 15, 2016.
^ "Zinke Announces Re-election Bid; Says He Will Defend Values". Flathead Beacon. Associated Press. March 6, 2016. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
^ "Denise Juneau launches campaign for Montana's U.S. House seat". Billings Gazette. Associated Press. November 4, 2015. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
^ Dennison, Mike. "Zinke and Juneau raising big bucks for U.S. House battle". KXLF. Retrieved May 2, 2016.
^ ^a ^b "2016 Statewide Montana Primary Election" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 10, 2016. Retrieved June 22, 2016.
^ Mason-Dixon
^ Rick Breckenridge with 1%
^ Montana State University Billings
^ "2016 General Election" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved December 9, 2016.

External links

[1] "Election 2016 Results: Bullock Re-elected Governor, Zinke Cruises". Flathead Beacon. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 15, 2016.

[2] "Zinke Announces Re-election Bid; Says He Will Defend Values". Flathead Beacon. Associated Press. March 6, 2016. Retrieved May 2, 2016.

[3] "Denise Juneau launches campaign for Montana's U.S. House seat". Billings Gazette. Associated Press. November 4, 2015. Retrieved May 2, 2016.

[4] Dennison, Mike. "Zinke and Juneau raising big bucks for U.S. House battle". KXLF. Retrieved May 2, 2016.

[primaryresults-5] "2016 Statewide Montana Primary Election" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on October 10, 2016. Retrieved June 22, 2016.

[6] Mason-Dixon

[7] Rick Breckenridge with 1%

[8] Montana State University Billings

[GeneralElection-9] "2016 General Election" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved December 9, 2016.

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